Skip to main content Skip to main content

Kevin L. Kliesen

Business Economist and Research Officer

Education

M.A. Economics
Colorado State University Fort Collins, Colorado
1989

B.S. Agricultural Business
Colorado State University
1985

Contact Info

Phone: (314) 444-8583
Fax: (314) 444-8731

Research Division
Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis
P.O. Box 442
St. Louis, MO 63166-0442

For media inquiries contact:
Laura Taylor
mediainquiries@stls.frb.org
Office: (314) 444-8783
Cell: (314) 313-4613

Economic Data

"Measuring Financial Market Stress"
with Douglas C. Smith
Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Economic Synopses, 2010, No. 2.
—The St. Louis Fed's Financial Stress Index (STLFSI):Appendix | Data





Review Articles

"Living Standards in St. Louis and the Eighth Federal Reserve District: Let’s Get Real,"
with Cletus C. Coughlin and Charles S. Gascon.
Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Review, Fourth Quarter 2017, Vol. 99, No. 4, 377-94.

"A Macroeconomic News Index for Constructing Nowcasts of U.S. Real Gross Domestic Product Growth,"
with Sean P. Grover and Michael W. McCracken.
Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Review, Fourth Quarter 2016, Vol. 98, No. 4, 277-96.

"Three Challenges to Central Bank Orthodoxy,"
with James Bullard.
Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Review, First Quarter 2016, Vol. 98, No. 1, 1-16.

"A Measure of Price Pressures,"
with Laura E. Jackson and Michael T. Owyang.
Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Review, First Quarter 2015, Vol. 97, No. 1, 25-52.

"A Guide to Tracking the U.S. Economy,"
Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Review, First Quarter 2014, Vol. 96, No. 1, 35-54.

"U.S. Manufacturing and the Importance of International Trade: It’s Not What You Think,"
with John A. Tatom.
Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Review, January/February 2013, Vol. 95, No. 1, 27-50.

"Disentangling Diverse Measures: A Survey of Financial Stress Indexes,"
with Michael T. Owyang and E. Katarina Vermann.
Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Review, September/October 2012, Vol. 94, No. 5, 369-398.

"Federal Reserve Lending to Troubled Banks During the Financial Crisis, 2007-2010,"
with R. Alton Gilbert, Andrew P. Meyer and David C. Wheelock.
Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Review, May/June 2012, Vol. 94, No. 3, 221-242.

"How Good Are the Government’s Deficit and Debt Projections and Should We Care?"
with Daniel L. Thornton.
Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Review, January/February 2012, Vol. 94, No. 1.

"FOMC Learning and Productivity Growth (1985-2003): A Reading of the Record,"
with Richard G. Anderson.
Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Review, March/April 2010, Vol. 92, No. 2, 129-154.

"Book Review: In Fed We Trust: New Book Focuses on the Fed in the Eye of the Storm"
Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis The Regional Economist, October 2009, pp. 21-22.

"Oil and the U.S. Macroeconomy: An Update and a Simple Forecasting Exercise,"
Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Review, September/October 2008, Vol. 90, No. 5, 505-516.

"Forecasting Inflation and Output: Comparing Data-Rich Models with Simple Rules,"
with William T. Gavin.
Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Review, May/June 2008, Vol. 90, No. 3, Part 1, 175-192.

"How Well Does Employment Predict Output?"
Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Review, September/October 2007, Vol. 89, No. 5, 433-446.

"Rising Natural Gas Prices and Real Economic Activity,"
Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Review, November/December 2006, Vol. 88, No. 6, 511-526.

"The 1990s Acceleration in Labor Productivity: Causes and Measurement,"
with Richard G. Anderson.
Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Review, May/June 2006, Vol. 88, No. 3, 181-202.

"Macroeconomic News and Real Interest Rates,"
with Frank A. Schmid.
Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Review, March/April 2006, Vol. 88, No. 2, 133-144.

"Oil Price Volatility and U.S. Macroeconomic Activity,"
with Hui Guo.
Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Review, November/December 2005, Vol. 87, No. 6, 669-84.

"The Coming Generational Storm: What you Need to Know about America's Economic Future"
by Laurence J. Kotlikoff and Scott Burns, 2004
Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis The Region, June 2005, pp. 48-53.

"Monetary Policy Actions, Macroeconomic Data Releases, and Inflation Expectations,"
with Frank A. Schmid.
Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Review, May/June 2004, Vol. 86, No. 3, 9-22.

"The 2001 Recession: How Was It Different and What Developments May Have Caused It?"
Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Review, September/October 2003, Vol. 85, No. 5, 23-38.

"Was Y2K Behind the Business Investment Boom and Bust?"
Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Review, January/February 2003, Vol. 85, No. 2, 31-42.

"Unemployment Insurance Claims and Economic Activity,"
with William T. Gavin.
Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Review, May/June 2002, Vol. 84, No. 3, 15-28.

"The Expected Federal Budget Surplus: How Much Confidence Should the Public and Policymakers Place in the Projections,"
with Daniel L. Thornton.
Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Review, March/April 2001, Vol. 83, No. 2, 11-24.

"Agriculture Outcomes and Monetary Policy Actions: Kissin' Cousins?"
with William Poole.
Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Review, May/June 2000, Vol. 82, No. 3, 1-12.

"Are Some Banks Too Agricultural?"
with R. Alton Gilbert.
Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Review, January/February 1996, Vol. 78, No. 1, 23-36.

"Data Appendix" in"An Extended Series of Divisia Aggregates"byDaniel L. Thorntonand Piyu Yue
with Lynn D. Dietrich
Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Review, November/December 1992, 74(6), pp. 46-52.

"The Recent Credit Crunch: The Neglected Dimensions,"
with John A. Tatom.
Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Review, September/October 1992, Vol. 74, No. 5, 18-36.


Regional Economist Articles

"Momentum Appears to Have Swung Upward for Economy,"
Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Regional Economist, Third Quarter 2017.

"Handle with Care: Report on GDP for First Quarter,"
Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Regional Economist, Second Quarter 2017.

"Signals Are Mixed, but Optimism Is on the Rise,"
Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Regional Economist, First Quarter 2017.

"After a Start That Was Lackluster, the Economy Improves,"
Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Regional Economist, October 2016.

"Despite Weakness, Economic Expansion Marks Seven Years,"
Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Regional Economist, July 2016.

"Modest Improvement in Economy Expected over Rest of the Year,"
with Usa Kerdnunvong.
Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Regional Economist, April 2016.

"Tracking the U.S. Economy with Nowcasts,"
with Michael W. McCracken.
Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Regional Economist, April 2016.

"Focus on Low Real Interest Rate Might Be Misplaced,"
with Jonas Crews and Christopher J. Waller.
Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Regional Economist, January 2016.

"Despite Crosscurrents, Economy Is Showing Signs of Strength,"
Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Regional Economist, January 2016.

"National Overview: Growth Is Resilient in the Midst of Uncertainty,"
Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Regional Economist, October 2015.

"National Overview: The U.S. Economy Stumbles Out of the Gate—Again,"
Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Regional Economist, July 2015.

"National Overview: Growth Is Modest in GDP but Strong in Labor Markets,"
Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Regional Economist, April 2015.

"Faster Real GDP Growth during Recoveries Tends To Be Associated with Growth of Jobs in "Low-Paying" Industries,"
with Lowell R. Ricketts.
Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Regional Economist, January 2015.

"National Overview: Pace of Growth Is Expected To Quicken,"
Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Regional Economist, January 2015.

"Recovery Seems To Have Finally Taken Root"
Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis The Regional Economist, July 2014.

"Weather Throws a Cold Blanket on the U.S. Economy"
Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis The Regional Economist, April 2014.

"A Spring-Loaded Economy?"
Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis The Regional Economist, January 2014, p. 17.

"Economic Recovery—Slow and Steady, or Full Steam Ahead?"
Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis The Regional Economist, October 2013, p. 19.

"The Fed's Strategy for Exiting from Unconventional Policy: Key Principles, Potential Challenges,"
Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Regional Economist, October 2013.

"Mixed Signals, but Moving Forward"
Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis The Regional Economist, July 2013, p. 17.

"Uncertainty and the Economy,"
Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Regional Economist, April 2013.

"Signs Point to Stronger Growth in GDP This Year"
Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis The Regional Economist, April 2013, p. 19.

"Fiscal Uncertainty Clouds Outlook for Growth"
Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis The Regional Economist, January 2013, p. 22.

"Economy Still Growing albeit at a Tepid Pace"
Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis The Regional Economist, October 2012, p. 22.

"Accounting for U.S. Growth: Is There a New Normal?"
Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Regional Economist, October 2012.

"Signs Point to Stronger Real GDP Growth in 2012 than Last Year's 1.6"
Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis The Regional Economist, July 2012, p. 10.

"The U.S. Economy Should Strengthen As Year Goes By"
Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis The Regional Economist, April 2012, p. 22.

"The Economy Should Be Able To Avoid a Recession in 2012"
Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis The Regional Economist, January 2012, p. 22.

"New Data Elevate Uncertainty about the Outlook on the Economy"
Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis The Regional Economist, October 2011, p. 26.

"Recovery Continues despite New Risks, Old Problems"
Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis The Regional Economist, July 2011, p. 21.

"Are Small Businesses the Biggest Producers of Jobs?"
with Julia S. Maues.
Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Regional Economist, April 2011.

"Low Interest Rates Have Benefits ... and Costs,"
Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Regional Economist, October 2010.

"Economy Is Nearing Cruising Altitude"
Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis The Regional Economist, July 2010, p. 23.

"Signs Point toward Another Jobless Recovery"
Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis The Regional Economist, April 2010, p. 17.

"Commercial Real Estate: A Drag for Some Banks but Maybe Not for U.S. Economy,"
with Rajeev R. Bhaskar and Yadav K. Gopalan.
Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Regional Economist, January 2010.

"Inflation May Be the Next Dragon To Slay,"
Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Regional Economist, January 2010.

"Digging Into the Infrastructure Debate,"
with Douglas C. Smith.
Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Regional Economist, July 2009.

"Nearing the Bottom, or Digging a Deeper Hole?"
Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis The Regional Economist, April 2009, p. 23.

"Man the Lifeboats!"
Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis The Regional Economist, January 2009, p. 19.

"Threats to the Economy Don't Let Up"
Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis The Regional Economist, October 2008, p. 17.

"Triple Whammy Fuels Economic Doubts"
Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis The Regional Economist, July 2008, p. 17.

"Ethanol: Economic Gain or Drain?"
with Joshua A. Byrge.
Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Regional Economist, July 2008.

"Skirting the Edge?"
Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis The Regional Economist, April 2008, p. 17.

"Housing Woes Weigh Heavily on the Economy"
Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis The Regional Economist, October 2007, p. 18.

"Trading Barbs: A Primer on the Globalization Debate,"
Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Regional Economist, October 2007.

"As Boomers Slow Down, So Might the Economy,"
Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Regional Economist, July 2007.

"The Economy Continues to Take a Punch"
Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis The Regional Economist, July 2007, p. 18.

"Will the U.S. Economy Find Its Groove This Year?"
Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis The Regional Economist, April 2007, p. 18.

"National Overview: Below-Trend Growth Is Predicted for Most of 2007,"
with Joshua A. Byrge.
Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Regional Economist, January 2007.

"Below-Trend Growth Is Predicted for Most of 2007"
Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis The Regional Economist, January 2007, p. 18.

"Electricity: The Next Energy Jolt?"
Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Regional Economist, October 2006.

"Survey Says Families Are Digging Deeper into Debt,"
Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Regional Economist, July 2006.

"U.S. Maneuvers through Choppy Waters"
Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis The Regional Economist, July 2006, p. 18.

"Economy Overcomes Hurricanes, Rising Energy Prices"
Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis The Regional Economist, April 2006, p. 18.

"Despite Setbacks, the U.S. Economy Steams Forward"
Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis The Regional Economist, January 2006, p. 18.

"A Patchwork Economy?"
Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis The Regional Economist, July 2005, p. 18.

"Do We Have a Saving Crisis?"
Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Regional Economist, July 2005.

"Economy's Expansion Puts Down Roots"
Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis The Regional Economist, April 2005, p. 18.

"Economists Expect Solid Economic Growth This Year"
Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis The Regional Economist, January 2005, p. 19.

"Fear of Hell Might Fire Up the Economy,"
with Frank A. Schmid.
Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Regional Economist, July 2004.

"Waiting on the FED"
Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis The Regional Economist, July 2004, p. 19.

"A Jobless Recovery with More People Working?"
with Howard J. Wall.
Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Regional Economist, April 2004.

"The Party Heats Up"
Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis The Regional Economist, April 2004, p. 19.

"Economy Finally Takes Off"
Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis The Regional Economist, January 2004, p. 19.

"The Economy Gets Back on Track: but Once Again Leaves Many Workers Behind,"
Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Regional Economist, January 2004.

"Slow Recovery Remains Puzzling"
Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis The Regional Economist, July 2003, p. 19.

"The U.S. Economy: Between Iraq and a Hard Place?"
Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis The Regional Economist, April 2003, p. 19.

"Big Government: The Comeback Kid?"
Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Regional Economist, January 2003.

"Recovery Has a Case of the Slows"
Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis The Regional Economist, January 2003, p. 19.

"Recovery Isn't As Easy As in the Past"
Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis The Regional Economist, July 2002, p. 19.

"Full Steam Ahead?"
Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis The Regional Economist, April 2002, p. 19.

"Government Budget Surpluses Head South: Will They Come Back?"
Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Regional Economist, April 2002.

"Road to Recovery: Longer than Average?"
Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis The Regional Economist, January 2002, p. 19.

"Despite Red Flags, Inflation under Control"
Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis The Regional Economist, October 2001, p. 19.

with David C. Wheelock.
Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Regional Economist, July 2001.

"Will the U.S. Economy Gain a Second Wind?"
Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis The Regional Economist, April 2001. p. 19.

Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Regional Economist, January 2001.

"Fast Lane, Slow Lane or Cruising Speed?"
Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis The Regional Economist, July 2000, p. 19.

"How Reliable are Federal Budget Projections"
Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis The Regional Economist, April 2000, p. 19.

"New Millennium: Same Vibrant Economy"
Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis The Regional Economist, January. 2000, p. 19.

"National and District Economies Maintain Cruising Speed"
Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis The Regional Economist, October 1999, p. 19.

"The NAIRU: Tailor Made for the Fed?"
Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis The Regional Economist, October 1999, pp. 10-11.

"An Oasis of Prosperity: Solely An American Phenomenon?"
Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis The Regional Economist, July 1999, pp. 5-9.

"National and District Overview"
Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis The Regional Economist, April 1999, p. 19.

"Is the Bloom off the Rose for Eighth District Farmers?"
Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis The Regional Economist, April 1999, pp. 12-13.

"Models and Policy: More Science Than Art?"
Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis The Regional Economist, January 1999, pp. 10-11.

"Enhancing Future Retirement Income Through 401(k)s"
Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis The Regional Economist, October 1998, pp. 5-9.

"How Susceptible is the United States to the Asian Flu?"
Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis The Regional Economist, April 1998, pp. 10-11.

"A Brave New Economic World? The Productivity Puzzle"
Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis The Regional Economist, January 1998, pp. 5-9.

"Critiquing the Consumer Price Index"
Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis The Regional Economist, July 1997, pp. 10-11.

"Assessing the Generational Gap in Future Living Standards Through Generational Accounting"
Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis The Regional Economist, April 1997, pp. 5-9.

"What's Up Down on the Farm?"
Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis The Regional Economist, January 1997, pp. 12-13.

"A Recipe for Policy Credibility"
Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis The Regional Economist, October 1996, pp. 10-11.

"Tax Man, Heal Thyself"
Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis The Regional Economist, July 1996, pp. 5-9.

"District Automotive Sector Flourishing"
Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis The Regional Economist, April 1996, pp. 12-13.

"Chained, Rested and Ready: The New and Improved GDP"
Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis The Regional Economist, January 1996, pp. 10-11.

"A Fiscal Devolution: Can State and Local Governments Measure Up"
Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis The Regional Economist, October 1995, pp. 5-9.

"District Economy Takes Off in '94"
Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis The Regional Economist, July 1995, pp. 12-13.

"A Fed Focused on Price Stability: The Benefits of a Single Target"
Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis The Regional Economist, April 1995, pp. 10-11.

"The Fixation on International Competitiveness"
Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis The Regional Economist, January 1995, pp. 5-9.

"District Economic Update: Will the Sailing Remain Smooth?"
Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis The Regional Economist, October 1994, pp. 12-13.

"Commodity Price Indexes: Can They Predict Inflation?"
Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis The Regional Economist, July 1994, pp. 10-11.

"The Economics of Natural Disasters"
Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis The Regional Economist, April 1994, pp. 5-9.

"Can Agriculture Rebound This Year?"
Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis The Regional Economist, January 1994, pp. 12-13.

"IOUs From The Edge: Should We Worry About The Budget Deficit?"
Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis The Regional Economist, October 1993, pp. 10-11.

"Restructuring And Economic Growth: Taking The Long-Term View"
Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis The Regional Economist, July 1993, pp. 5-9.

"Some Upbeat Trends in District Employment"
Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis The Regional Economist, April 1993, pp. 12-13.


Economic Synopses Articles

"Remembering Allan H. Meltzer,"
Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Economic Synopses, 2017, No. 7.

"Does Data Confusion Equal Forecast Confusion?"
Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Economic Synopses, 2017, No. 5.

"Introducing the St. Louis Fed Price Pressures Measure,"
with Laura E. Jackson and Michael T. Owyang.
Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Economic Synopses, 2015, No. 25.

"How Accurate Are Measures of Long-Term Inflation Expectations?"
Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Economic Synopses, 2015, No. 9.

"Are Oil Price Declines Good for the Economy?"
Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Economic Synopses, 2015, No. 3.

"How Negative Is Negative Real GDP Growth?"
Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Economic Synopses, 2014, No. 17.

"Signs of Improving Labor Market Conditions,"
Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Economic Synopses, 2014, No. 10.

"How Well Do Initial Claims Forecast Employment Growth Over the Business Cycle and Over Time?"
with David C. Wheelock.
Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Economic Synopses, 2012, No. 7.

"Initial Claims and Employment Growth: Are We at the Threshold?"
with Michael W. McCracken and Linpeng Zheng.
Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Economic Synopses, 2011, No. 41.

"Using Brent and WTI Oil Prices to Predict Gasoline Prices,"
with Michael T. Owyang.
Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Economic Synopses, 2011, No. 36.

"Tax Rates and Revenue Since the 1970s,"
with Daniel L. Thornton.
Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Economic Synopses, 2011, No. 24.

"The Federal Debt: What’s the Source of the Increase in Spending?"
with Daniel L. Thornton.
Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Economic Synopses, 2011, No. 21.

"The Federal Debt: Too Little Revenue or Too Much Spending,"
with Daniel L. Thornton.
Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Economic Synopses, 2011, No. 20.

"Is the Fed’s Definition of Price Stability Evolving?"
Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Economic Synopses, 2010, No. 33.

"Measuring Financial Market Stress,"
with Douglas C. Smith.
Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Economic Synopses, 2010, No. 2.

"Dating the End of the Recession: Evaluating the Economic Indicators,"
Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Economic Synopses, 2009, No. 28.

"Recession or Depression? Part II,"
Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Economic Synopses, 2009, No. 19.

"Recession or Depression?"
Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Economic Synopses, 2009, No. 15.

"Putting the Financial Crisis and Lending Activity in a Broader Context,"
Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Economic Synopses, 2009, No. 11.

"Another Conundrum?"
Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Economic Synopses, 2008, No. 23.

"An Expanded Look at Employment,"
Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Economic Synopses, 2008, No. 7.

"Can You Hear Me Now?"
Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Economic Synopses, 2008, No. 1.

"Recession Rumblings,"
Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Economic Synopses, 2007, No. 12.

"Are Two Employment Surveys Better than One?"
Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Economic Synopses, 2006, No. 27.

"Gauging the Size of Today’s Price Shocks,"
Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Economic Synopses, 2006, No. 2.

"Has Monetary Policy Been More Accomodative Than Previously Believed?"
Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Economic Synopses, 2005, No. 23.

"Battle at Bond Bluff: Forecasters vs. Financial Markets,"
Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Economic Synopses, 2005, No. 14.

"Reading Inflation Expectations from CPI Futures,"
with Hui Guo.
Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Economic Synopses, 2005, No. 5.

"Ringing in the New Year with an Investment Bust?"
Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Economic Synopses, 2004, No. 29.

"Mind the Gap: Measuring Actual vs. Potential Output,"
Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Economic Synopses, 2004, No. 2.

"Waiting for the Investment Boom? It Might Be a While,"
Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Economic Synopses, 2003, No. 12.

"Does a Mild Recession Imply a Weak Recovery?"
with Daniel L. Thornton.
Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Economic Synopses, 2002, No. 9.


National Economic Trends Articles

"Die Another Day? Budget Deficits and Interest Rates"
Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis National Economic Trends, December 2002.

"Whither the 'New Economy'?"
Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis National Economic Trends, September 2001.

"The Switch to NAICS"
Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis National Economic Trends, August 2001.

"Will California Short-Circuit the Expansion?"
Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis National Economic Trends, February 2001.

"Available Labor Supply"
Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis National Economic Trends, February 2000.

"The Economic Outlook for 2000: Bulls on Parade?"
Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis National Economic Trends, January 2000.

"Putting Business Software Purchases into the National Accounts"
Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis National Economic Trends, November 1999.

"How Important Will 401(k) Plans Be to Baby Boomers?"
Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis National Economic Trends, November 1998.

"Is Deflation Coming?"
Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis National Economic Trends, November 1997.




Subscribe to our newsletter


Follow us

Twitter logo Google Plus logo Facebook logo YouTube logo LinkedIn logo
Back to Top