Senior Economic Policy Advisor
Ph.D. Economics
University of Wisconsin-Madison
1998
B.S. Mathematics
University of Kansas
1989
For media inquiries, contact:
Shera Dalin
mediainquiries@stls.frb.org
Phone: (314) 444-3911
Senior Economic Policy Advisor
"Bootstrapping out-of-sample predictability tests with real-time data"
with
Silvia Goncalves and Yongxu Yao
Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Working Paper 2023-029A, December 2023
"Growth-at-Risk is Investment-at-Risk"
with
Aaron Amburgey
Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Working Paper 2023-020A, August 2023
"Tests of Conditional Predictive Ability: Existence, Size, and Power"
Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Working Paper 2020-050A, December 2020
"Tests of Conditional Predictive Ability: Some Simulation Evidence"
Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Working Paper 2019-011C, April 2019
"Real-Time Forecast Averaging with ALFRED"
with
Chanont Banternghansa
Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Working Paper 2010-033A, September 2010
"Forecast Disagreement Among FOMC Members"
with
Chanont Banternghansa
Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Working Paper 2009-059A, December 2009
"Improving Forecast Accuracy by Combining Recursive and Rolling Forecasts"
with
Todd E. Clark
Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Working Paper 2008-028A, August 2008
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