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Michael W. McCracken

Assistant Vice-President

Education

Ph.D. Economics
University of Wisconsin-Madison
1998

B.S. Mathematics
University of Kansas
1989

Contact Info

Phone: (314) 444-8594
Fax: (314) 444-8731

Research Division
Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis
P.O. Box 442
St. Louis, MO 63166-0442

For media inquiries, contact:
Karen Mracek
mediainquiries@stls.frb.org
Phone: (314) 444-3911




Review Articles

"A Macroeconomic News Index for Constructing Nowcasts of U.S. Real Gross Domestic Product Growth"
with Sean P. Grover and Kevin L. Kliesen
Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Review, Fourth Quarter 2016
https://doi.org/10.20955/r.2016.277-296

"Factor-Based Prediction of Industry-Wide Bank Stress"
with Sean P. Grover
Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Review, Second Quarter 2014
https://doi.org/10.20955/r.96.173-194

"Real-Time Forecast Averaging with ALFRED"
with Chanont Banternghansa
Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Review, January/February 2011
https://doi.org/10.20955/r.93.49-66


Economic Synopses Articles

"Following the Fed with a News Tracker"
Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Economic Synopses, 2012, No. 3
https://doi.org/10.20955/es.2012.3

"Initial Claims and Employment Growth: Are We at the Threshold?"
with Kevin L. Kliesen and Linpeng Zheng
Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Economic Synopses, 2011, No. 41
https://doi.org/10.20955/es.2011.41

"Should Food Be Excluded from Core CPI?"
Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Economic Synopses, 2011, No. 28
https://doi.org/10.20955/es.2011.28

"Housing's Role in a Recovery"
Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Economic Synopses, 2011, No. 6
https://doi.org/10.20955/es.2011.6

"Using Stock Market Liquidity to Forecast Recessions"
Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Economic Synopses, 2010, No. 20
https://doi.org/10.20955/es.2010.20

"Using FOMC Forecasts to Forecast the Economy"
Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Economic Synopses, 2010, No. 5
https://doi.org/10.20955/es.2010.5

"Uncertainty About When the Fed Will Raise Interest Rates"
Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Economic Synopses, 2009, No. 29
https://doi.org/10.20955/es.2009.29

"How Accurate Are Forecasts in a Recession?"
Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Economic Synopses, 2009, No. 9
https://doi.org/10.20955/es.2009.9


Regional Economist Articles

"Tracking the U.S. Economy with Nowcasts"
with Kevin L. Kliesen
Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis The Regional Economist, Second Quarter 2016, Vol. 24, No. 2

"Disagreement at the FOMC: The Dissenting Votes Are Just Part of the Story"
Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis The Regional Economist, Fourth Quarter 2010, Vol. 18, No. 4





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