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Fiscal Dominance

Central banks' resolve and independence are chronically tested by fiscal authorities wishing to impose their desired policies, often leading to socially undesirable economic outcomes. I study how the fiscal and monetary authorities' disagreement over outcomes and their choice of active instruments shape the implementation of policy, dispensing with commitment or first-mover advantage. I characterize the equilibrium for various combinations of active (and correspondingly, passive) instruments, identify which sources of disagreement play a role in each case, and show whether and under what conditions time-consistency problems may disappear in the long-run. When the fiscal authority sets debt levels actively, it may be able to impose its preferences on the central bank, regardless of how monetary policy is conducted. Designing a central bank with a special concern for liquidity markets counteracts this result.

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https://doi.org/10.20955/wp.2020.040