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Granger Causality and Equilibrium Business Cycle Theory

Post-war US data show that consumption growth "Granger causes" output and investment growth. This is puzzling if technology is the driving force of the business cycle. I ask whether general equilibrium models with information frictions and non-technology shocks can rationalize the observed causal relations. My conclusion is they cannot.

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https://doi.org/10.20955/wp.2005.038