Results 1 - 30 of 939 for recession [collection: publications]
Regime-Dependent Recession Forecasts and the 2001 Recession - Review
Business recessions are notoriously hard to predict accurately, hence the quip that economists have predicted eight of the last five recessions. This article derives a six-month-ahead recession signal that reduces the number of false signals outside of recessions, without impairing the ability to signal the recessions that occur.
research.stlouisfed.org/.../2002/11/01/regime-dependent-recession-forecasts-and-the-2001-recession
Recession or Depression? - Economic Synopses
Although the current recession may be the longest in the postwar period, it is by no means certain that it will be the deepest, but it’s increasingly looking that way.
research.stlouisfed.org/publications/economic-synopses/2009/03/23/recession-or-depression
The Global Recession - Economic Synopses
An unusually high percentage of the world’s large countries and major U.S. trading partners are currently experiencing a recession.
research.stlouisfed.org/publications/economic-synopses/2009/05/05/the-global-recession
Another Recession, But Different - Review
Tthe issue of tagging 1974 with the label of “recession” is, by itself, of little significance. What is important is the common interpretation of what a period of recession means in terms of economic activity and the monetary and fiscal policies that are appropriate to deal with the situation.
research.stlouisfed.org/publications/review/1974/12/01/another-recession-but-different
What Is a Recession? - Page One Economics®
The past year has seen much debate about whether the United States is officially in (or not in) a recession (it is). But just what is a recession? Who decides that fact and how? Or, in other words, what actually makes a recession a recession? Read the February 2009 Newsletter for all the details.
research.stlouisfed.org/publications/page1-econ/2009/02/01/what-is-a-recession/
The Reliability of Recession Predictors - Employment Research
With unemployment hitting historic lows and the Treasury yield curve flattening, economists are considering when the next recession might occur.
research.stlouisfed.org/.../employment-research//the-reliability-of-recession-predictors/
Recession Rumblings - Economic Synopses
This essay compares the number of newspaper stories in the New York Times and Wall Street Journal with the word "recession" and the timing of actual recessions. The number of stories rises during periods of slow growth and recession and remains low during periods of economic expansion.
research.stlouisfed.org/publications/economic-synopses/2007/05/03/recession-rumblings
The Current Recession: How Bad Is It? - Economic Synopses
In a recession, the severity of the decline is just as relevant as the duration of the recession.
research.stlouisfed.org/.../economic-synopses/2009/01/08/the-current-recession-how-bad-is-it
Reconstructing the Great Recession - Review
This article uses dynamic equilibrium input-output models to evaluate the contribution of the construction sector to the Great Recession and the expansion preceeding it. Through production interlinkages and demand complementarities, shifts in housing demand can propagate to other economic sectors and generate a large and sustained aggregate cycle.
research.stlouisfed.org/publications/review/2020/07/31/reconstructing-the-great-recession
Who Was Hit Hardest by the Great Recession? - Employment Research
Long-termunemployment (LTU) is defined as continuous unemployment for 6 months or more. AlexanderMonge-Naranjo and Faisal Sohail examined LTU for different age and gendergroups before and after the Great Recession.
research.stlouisfed.org/.../employment-research//who-was-hit-hardest-by-the-great-recession/
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