Skip to main content

September/October 1992, 
Vol. 74, No. 5
Posted 1992-09-01

Structural Approaches to Vector Autoregressions

by John Keating

John W. Keating reviews the principles of VAR analysis with particular emphasis on two structural VAR approaches. The two approaches impose restrictions on contemporaneous and long-run behavior to identify a structural model from the reduced form. The author provides empirical examples with a standard group of macroeconomic variables to illustrate these two approaches. The empirical long-run structural model yields results that are generally consistent with the theoretical model, whereas the results for the contemporaneous model are frequently inconsistent with theory. These findings suggest that long-run structural VAR models are superior; however, additional investigation should determine whether this result is robust or simply a special case.