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November/December 1989, 
Vol. 71, No. 6
Posted 1989-11-01

Do Price Indexes Tell Us About Inflation? A Review of the Issue

by Keith M. Carlson

Keith M. Carlson discusses the broad issues involved in defining inflation and using U.S. price indexes to measure it. The indexes are examined from two perspectives: that of the individual attempting to maximize his well-being, and that of the policymaker attempting to control inflation. The author concludes that, to measure and analyze inflation properly, more information is required than these conventional price indexes provide. A theoretical measure of price change would include the prices of assets, which serve as proxies for the prices of future consumption services. From a policymaker’s perspective, the author concludes, no one price measure has performed consistently better than another since 1952 when compared with the Friedman measure of money relative to trend output.