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April 1977

Inventory Investment in the Recent Recession and Recovery

by John A. Tatom

The behavior of inventory investment since the beginning of the 1973-75 recession has been a dominant concern of economic analysts. Initially, this concern was motivated by a recognition that a relationship between inventory investment and changes in total output and employment has been one of the most pronounced regularities of the business cycle. This relationship appears to be such a dominant factor in previous postwar recessions that they have been referred to as “inventory recessions.”