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Our most academic publication offers research and surveys on monetary policy, national and international developments, banking, and more. The content is written for an economically informed readership—from the undergraduate student to the PhD.


Vol. 91, No. 5, Part 2 (Posted 2009-10-21)

Do Macroeconomic Announcements Move Inflation Forecasts?

by Marlene Amstad and Andreas M. Fischer

This paper presents an empirical strategy that bridges the gap between event studies and macroeconomic forecasts based on common-factor models. Event studies examine the response of financial variables to a market-sensitive "surprise" component using a narrow event window.

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