Title: Leading Index for Oregon Series ID: ORSLIND Source: Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia Release: State Leading Indexes Seasonal Adjustment: Seasonally Adjusted Frequency: Monthly Units: Percent Date Range: 1982-01-01 to 2020-02-01 Last Updated: 2020-04-14 9:17 AM CDT Notes: The leading index for each state predicts the six-month growth rate of the state's coincident index. In addition to the coincident index, the models include other variables that lead the economy: state-level housing permits (1 to 4 units), state initial unemployment insurance claims, delivery times from the Institute for Supply Management (ISM) manufacturing survey, and the interest rate spread between the 10-year Treasury bond and the 3-month Treasury bill. DATE VALUE 1982-01-01 -0.14 1982-02-01 0.43 1982-03-01 1.02 1982-04-01 1.23 1982-05-01 1.50 1982-06-01 1.08 1982-07-01 0.83 1982-08-01 0.00 1982-09-01 0.48 1982-10-01 0.53 1982-11-01 1.50 1982-12-01 1.84 1983-01-01 3.45 1983-02-01 2.80 1983-03-01 3.16 1983-04-01 3.00 1983-05-01 2.88 1983-06-01 3.29 1983-07-01 1.07 1983-08-01 1.26 1983-09-01 2.13 1983-10-01 3.20 1983-11-01 3.02 1983-12-01 2.60 1984-01-01 2.85 1984-02-01 3.02 1984-03-01 2.45 1984-04-01 1.96 1984-05-01 1.23 1984-06-01 1.39 1984-07-01 2.47 1984-08-01 2.72 1984-09-01 1.90 1984-10-01 1.19 1984-11-01 1.02 1984-12-01 1.36 1985-01-01 1.97 1985-02-01 1.40 1985-03-01 2.08 1985-04-01 1.89 1985-05-01 2.44 1985-06-01 2.75 1985-07-01 2.37 1985-08-01 2.47 1985-09-01 2.92 1985-10-01 2.35 1985-11-01 1.90 1985-12-01 1.37 1986-01-01 1.24 1986-02-01 1.32 1986-03-01 1.71 1986-04-01 2.44 1986-05-01 2.40 1986-06-01 2.54 1986-07-01 2.23 1986-08-01 2.69 1986-09-01 2.81 1986-10-01 3.06 1986-11-01 2.90 1986-12-01 2.85 1987-01-01 2.54 1987-02-01 2.81 1987-03-01 2.21 1987-04-01 2.03 1987-05-01 1.88 1987-06-01 2.23 1987-07-01 2.47 1987-08-01 1.90 1987-09-01 2.03 1987-10-01 1.82 1987-11-01 2.11 1987-12-01 2.37 1988-01-01 2.20 1988-02-01 2.41 1988-03-01 2.54 1988-04-01 1.94 1988-05-01 1.60 1988-06-01 1.99 1988-07-01 2.83 1988-08-01 2.69 1988-09-01 2.25 1988-10-01 2.11 1988-11-01 2.55 1988-12-01 2.09 1989-01-01 1.78 1989-02-01 1.38 1989-03-01 1.70 1989-04-01 1.37 1989-05-01 1.94 1989-06-01 2.72 1989-07-01 1.98 1989-08-01 1.85 1989-09-01 1.87 1989-10-01 1.33 1989-11-01 1.79 1989-12-01 2.44 1990-01-01 3.15 1990-02-01 1.74 1990-03-01 1.45 1990-04-01 1.23 1990-05-01 1.32 1990-06-01 1.18 1990-07-01 0.63 1990-08-01 1.49 1990-09-01 0.31 1990-10-01 0.69 1990-11-01 0.81 1990-12-01 1.15 1991-01-01 0.72 1991-02-01 1.03 1991-03-01 0.84 1991-04-01 1.11 1991-05-01 1.05 1991-06-01 1.65 1991-07-01 1.49 1991-08-01 1.18 1991-09-01 1.32 1991-10-01 1.29 1991-11-01 0.06 1991-12-01 0.50 1992-01-01 1.46 1992-02-01 1.65 1992-03-01 1.88 1992-04-01 2.22 1992-05-01 2.75 1992-06-01 1.94 1992-07-01 2.62 1992-08-01 1.81 1992-09-01 1.52 1992-10-01 1.73 1992-11-01 2.18 1992-12-01 1.75 1993-01-01 2.06 1993-02-01 2.62 1993-03-01 2.52 1993-04-01 2.09 1993-05-01 1.83 1993-06-01 2.01 1993-07-01 2.28 1993-08-01 2.47 1993-09-01 3.12 1993-10-01 3.21 1993-11-01 2.46 1993-12-01 2.60 1994-01-01 2.61 1994-02-01 2.18 1994-03-01 2.44 1994-04-01 2.19 1994-05-01 2.62 1994-06-01 2.80 1994-07-01 2.56 1994-08-01 2.27 1994-09-01 2.28 1994-10-01 2.29 1994-11-01 2.59 1994-12-01 2.43 1995-01-01 2.19 1995-02-01 1.69 1995-03-01 1.30 1995-04-01 1.27 1995-05-01 1.36 1995-06-01 1.98 1995-07-01 1.90 1995-08-01 2.18 1995-09-01 2.25 1995-10-01 1.44 1995-11-01 1.08 1995-12-01 1.31 1996-01-01 1.40 1996-02-01 0.90 1996-03-01 1.08 1996-04-01 1.50 1996-05-01 1.43 1996-06-01 1.93 1996-07-01 2.21 1996-08-01 2.19 1996-09-01 1.62 1996-10-01 1.98 1996-11-01 1.92 1996-12-01 1.14 1997-01-01 1.72 1997-02-01 1.93 1997-03-01 2.39 1997-04-01 2.34 1997-05-01 2.41 1997-06-01 2.06 1997-07-01 1.53 1997-08-01 1.54 1997-09-01 1.50 1997-10-01 1.60 1997-11-01 1.53 1997-12-01 2.20 1998-01-01 1.40 1998-02-01 1.19 1998-03-01 1.29 1998-04-01 1.09 1998-05-01 1.08 1998-06-01 0.90 1998-07-01 0.88 1998-08-01 1.06 1998-09-01 1.62 1998-10-01 1.43 1998-11-01 1.58 1998-12-01 1.44 1999-01-01 1.85 1999-02-01 1.80 1999-03-01 1.64 1999-04-01 1.85 1999-05-01 1.22 1999-06-01 1.26 1999-07-01 1.86 1999-08-01 2.13 1999-09-01 2.05 1999-10-01 2.24 1999-11-01 2.38 1999-12-01 2.07 2000-01-01 1.58 2000-02-01 1.30 2000-03-01 1.41 2000-04-01 1.73 2000-05-01 1.39 2000-06-01 1.09 2000-07-01 1.17 2000-08-01 1.29 2000-09-01 1.36 2000-10-01 1.61 2000-11-01 1.74 2000-12-01 0.95 2001-01-01 0.52 2001-02-01 0.29 2001-03-01 -0.23 2001-04-01 -0.45 2001-05-01 -0.21 2001-06-01 0.28 2001-07-01 0.08 2001-08-01 -0.26 2001-09-01 -0.21 2001-10-01 -0.16 2001-11-01 -0.15 2001-12-01 0.39 2002-01-01 1.31 2002-02-01 2.00 2002-03-01 2.30 2002-04-01 2.77 2002-05-01 2.20 2002-06-01 2.46 2002-07-01 2.30 2002-08-01 1.73 2002-09-01 1.01 2002-10-01 1.28 2002-11-01 0.41 2002-12-01 0.65 2003-01-01 0.90 2003-02-01 0.69 2003-03-01 0.30 2003-04-01 0.47 2003-05-01 0.87 2003-06-01 1.13 2003-07-01 2.00 2003-08-01 2.32 2003-09-01 2.82 2003-10-01 2.60 2003-11-01 2.29 2003-12-01 2.45 2004-01-01 1.69 2004-02-01 1.79 2004-03-01 2.52 2004-04-01 2.76 2004-05-01 2.47 2004-06-01 2.44 2004-07-01 2.15 2004-08-01 2.33 2004-09-01 2.24 2004-10-01 2.24 2004-11-01 2.12 2004-12-01 2.61 2005-01-01 2.19 2005-02-01 2.51 2005-03-01 2.29 2005-04-01 1.67 2005-05-01 1.32 2005-06-01 1.83 2005-07-01 2.00 2005-08-01 1.69 2005-09-01 2.17 2005-10-01 2.18 2005-11-01 2.55 2005-12-01 2.64 2006-01-01 2.13 2006-02-01 2.41 2006-03-01 2.00 2006-04-01 1.53 2006-05-01 1.45 2006-06-01 1.43 2006-07-01 1.27 2006-08-01 1.27 2006-09-01 1.05 2006-10-01 1.78 2006-11-01 1.49 2006-12-01 1.87 2007-01-01 1.78 2007-02-01 1.91 2007-03-01 1.47 2007-04-01 0.89 2007-05-01 1.03 2007-06-01 0.69 2007-07-01 0.70 2007-08-01 0.93 2007-09-01 1.27 2007-10-01 1.06 2007-11-01 1.65 2007-12-01 1.29 2008-01-01 1.33 2008-02-01 0.97 2008-03-01 0.93 2008-04-01 0.20 2008-05-01 0.17 2008-06-01 -0.08 2008-07-01 -0.35 2008-08-01 -0.61 2008-09-01 -1.39 2008-10-01 -2.07 2008-11-01 -2.69 2008-12-01 -3.52 2009-01-01 -3.01 2009-02-01 -2.28 2009-03-01 -1.46 2009-04-01 -0.37 2009-05-01 1.23 2009-06-01 2.18 2009-07-01 2.64 2009-08-01 2.66 2009-09-01 2.29 2009-10-01 1.66 2009-11-01 1.78 2009-12-01 1.54 2010-01-01 1.59 2010-02-01 1.57 2010-03-01 1.80 2010-04-01 2.07 2010-05-01 2.71 2010-06-01 2.38 2010-07-01 1.66 2010-08-01 1.97 2010-09-01 1.72 2010-10-01 1.89 2010-11-01 2.45 2010-12-01 2.02 2011-01-01 2.58 2011-02-01 2.44 2011-03-01 2.63 2011-04-01 1.59 2011-05-01 1.29 2011-06-01 1.37 2011-07-01 1.64 2011-08-01 1.88 2011-09-01 1.85 2011-10-01 2.10 2011-11-01 2.17 2011-12-01 2.08 2012-01-01 2.08 2012-02-01 2.06 2012-03-01 1.62 2012-04-01 1.98 2012-05-01 1.81 2012-06-01 1.61 2012-07-01 2.17 2012-08-01 2.21 2012-09-01 1.60 2012-10-01 1.64 2012-11-01 1.85 2012-12-01 1.61 2013-01-01 2.12 2013-02-01 2.38 2013-03-01 2.23 2013-04-01 2.65 2013-05-01 2.22 2013-06-01 1.96 2013-07-01 1.87 2013-08-01 2.13 2013-09-01 2.36 2013-10-01 2.25 2013-11-01 2.24 2013-12-01 2.17 2014-01-01 1.92 2014-02-01 1.42 2014-03-01 2.33 2014-04-01 2.44 2014-05-01 2.37 2014-06-01 2.73 2014-07-01 2.25 2014-08-01 2.13 2014-09-01 2.37 2014-10-01 2.35 2014-11-01 2.74 2014-12-01 2.59 2015-01-01 2.31 2015-02-01 2.34 2015-03-01 2.13 2015-04-01 2.02 2015-05-01 2.29 2015-06-01 1.91 2015-07-01 1.83 2015-08-01 2.15 2015-09-01 2.30 2015-10-01 2.37 2015-11-01 2.31 2015-12-01 2.33 2016-01-01 1.75 2016-02-01 2.61 2016-03-01 1.91 2016-04-01 1.84 2016-05-01 1.60 2016-06-01 1.72 2016-07-01 2.05 2016-08-01 2.14 2016-09-01 2.13 2016-10-01 1.94 2016-11-01 2.51 2016-12-01 1.93 2017-01-01 1.05 2017-02-01 2.29 2017-03-01 2.14 2017-04-01 2.14 2017-05-01 1.78 2017-06-01 1.93 2017-07-01 1.68 2017-08-01 1.54 2017-09-01 1.38 2017-10-01 1.44 2017-11-01 1.45 2017-12-01 1.59 2018-01-01 1.85 2018-02-01 1.82 2018-03-01 1.61 2018-04-01 1.69 2018-05-01 1.53 2018-06-01 1.81 2018-07-01 1.34 2018-08-01 0.90 2018-09-01 1.59 2018-10-01 1.30 2018-11-01 1.10 2018-12-01 1.35 2019-01-01 1.72 2019-02-01 1.01 2019-03-01 1.54 2019-04-01 1.77 2019-05-01 1.71 2019-06-01 1.69 2019-07-01 1.73 2019-08-01 2.13 2019-09-01 1.62 2019-10-01 1.57 2019-11-01 1.51 2019-12-01 1.21 2020-01-01 1.68 2020-02-01 1.54