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"Is Housing the Business Cycle? Evidence from U.S. Cities"
by Andra C. Ghent, and Michael T. Owyang

We analyze the relationship between housing and the business cycle in a set of 51 U.S. cities. Most surprisingly, we find that declines in house prices are often not followed by declines in employment. We also find that national permits are a better leading indicator for a city’s employment than a city’s own permits.

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Category > Regional Economics
Category > Applied Econometrics
Author > Michael T. Owyang
Research Papers and Publications: JEL Code > C32
Research Papers and Publications: JEL Code > E32
Research Papers and Publications: JEL Code > R11


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