Optimal Response to a Transitory Demographic Shock in Social Security Financing pp. 33-48 (PDF 634k)
by Juan Carlos Conesa and Carlos Garriga
Programs are available upon request. Please contact Carlos Garriga at Carlos.Garriga@stls.frb.org.

MARCH/APRIL 2009 Vol. 91, No. 2

Complete Issue (PDF 795k)

More Money: Understanding Recent Changes in the Monetary Base pp. 49-60 (PDF 155k)
by William T. Gavin
Data (xlsx)

Foreign Direct Investment, Productivity, and Country Growth: An Overview pp. 61-78 (PDF 226k)
by Silvio Contessi and Ariel Weinberger
Data (xlsx)

Quick Exits of Subprime Mortgages pp. 79-94 (PDF 154k)
by Yuliya Demyanyk

Firm Volatility and Credit: A Macroeconomic Analysis pp. 95-106 (PDF 176k)
by Leo Kaas
Data and Programs (.xls)

MAY/JUNE 2009 Vol. 91, No. 3

Complete Issue (PDF 820k)

The Impact of Inflation and Unemployment on Subjective Personal and Country Evaluations pp. 107-126 (PDF 167k)
by Néstor Gándelman and Rubén Hernández-Murillo

A Journal Ranking for the Ambitious Economist pp. 127-140 (PDF 133k)
by Kristie M. Engemann and Howard J. Wall
Data (.xls)

Do Donors Care About Declining Trade Revenue from Liberalization? An Analysis of Bilateral Aid Allocation pp. 141-154 (PDF 164k)
by Javed Younas and Subhayu Bandyopadhyay
Program (.txt)
Data (.xls)

Supply Shocks, Demand Shocks, and Labor Market Fluctuations pp. 155-178 (PDF 324k)
by Helge Braun, Reinout De Bock, and Riccardo DiCecio

JULY/AUGUST 2009 Vol. 91, No. 4

Projecting Potential Growth: Issues and Measurements

Proceedings of the Thirty-Third Annual Economic Policy Conference of the Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis

Complete Issue (PDF 2.4M)

Contributing Authors pp. iii (PDF 34k)

President's Welcome pp. 179-180 (PDF 52k)
by James Bullard

Editor's Introduction pp. 181-186 (PDF 65k)
by Richard G. Anderson

What Do We Know (And Not Know) About Potential Output? pp. 187-214 (PDF 255k)
by Susanto Basu and John G. Fernald

Commentary pp. 215-220 (PDF 95k)
by Rodolfo E. Manuelli
Commentary on What Do We Know (And Not Know) About Potential Output?

Issues on Potential Growth Measurement and Comparison: How Structural Is the Production Function Approach? pp. 221-240 (PDF 295k)
by Christophe Cahn and Arthur Saint-Guilhem

Commentary pp. 241-246 (PDF 82k)
by Jon Faust
Commentary on Issues on Potential Growth Measurement and Comparison: How Structural Is the Production Function Approach?

Parsing Shocks: Real-Time Revisions to Gap and Growth Projections for Canada pp. 247-266 (PDF 187k)
by Russell Barnett, Sharon Kozicki, and Christopher Petrinec

Commentary pp. 267-270 (PDF 73k)
by Gregor W. Smith
Commentary on Parsing Shocks: Real-Time Revisions to Gap and Growth Projections for Canada

The Challenges of Estimating Potential Output in Real Time pp. 271-290 (PDF 259k)
by Robert W. Arnold

Commentary pp. 291-296 (PDF 92k)
by Robert J. Tetlow
Commentary on The Challenges of Estimating Potential Output in Real Time

Trends in the Aggregate Labor Force pp. 297-310 (PDF 214k)
by Kenneth J. Matheny

Commentary pp. 311-316 (PDF 83k)
by Ellis W. Tallman
Commentary on Trends in the Aggregate Labor Force

Potential Output in a Rapidly Developing Economy: The Case of China and a Comparison with the United States and the European Union pp. 317-342 (PDF 276k)
by Jinghai Zheng, Angang Hu, and Arne Bigsten

Commentary pp. 343-348 (PDF 87k)
by Xiaodong Zhu
Commentary on Potential Output in a Rapidly Developing Economy: The Case of China and a Comparison with the United States and the European Union

Estimating U.S. Output Growth with Vintage Data in a State-Space Framework pp. 349-370 (PDF 244k)
by Richard G. Anderson and Charles S. Gascon

Commentary pp. 371-382 (PDF 164k)
by Dean Croushore
Commentary on Estimating U.S. Output Growth with Vintage Data in a State-Space Framework

Panel Discussion pp. 383-395 (PDF 165k)
by Carlos Hamilton Araujo, Seppo Honkapohja, and James Bullard

SEPTEMBER/OCTOBER 2009 Vol. 91, No. 5, Part 1

Complete Issue (PDF 667k)

The Credit Crisis and Cycle-Proof Regulation pp. 397-402 (PDF 71k)
by Raghuram G. Rajan

Systemic Risk and the Financial Crisis: A Primer pp. 403-418 (PDF 150k)
by James Bullard, Christopher J. Neely, and David C. Wheelock
Data (.xls)

Can the Term Spread Predict Output Growth and Recessions? A Survey of the Literature pp. 419-440 (PDF 210k)
by David C. Wheelock and Mark E. Wohar
Data (.xls)
Program (.txt)

Mexico’s Integration into NAFTA Markets: A View from Sectoral Real Exchange Rates pp. 441-464 (PDF 208k)
by Rodolphe Blavy and Luciana Juvenal
Data (xlsx)

SEPTEMBER/OCTOBER 2009 Vol. 91, No. 5, Part 2

Complete Issue (PDF 1M)

Milton Friedman and U.K. Economic Policy: 1938-1979 pp. 465-506 (PDF 277k)
by Edward Nelson

Do Macroeconomic Announcements Move Inflation Forecasts? pp. 507-518 (PDF 165k)
by Marlene Amstad and Andreas M. Fischer

Challenges in Macro-Finance Modeling pp. 519-544 (PDF 271k)
by Don H. Kim

Investment Analysts' Forecasts of Earnings pp. 545-568 (PDF 347k)
by Rocco Ciciretti, Gerald P. Dwyer, Jr., and Iftekhar Hasan

NOVEMBER/DECEMBER 2009 Vol. 91, No. 6

Complete Issue (PDF 1.2M)

Auctions as a Vehicle to Reduce Airport Delays and Achieve Value Capture pp. 569-588 (PDF 194k)
by Jeffrey P. Cohen, Cletus C. Coughlin, and Lesli S. Ott

The Commercial Paper Market, the Fed, and the 2007-2009 Financial Crisis pp. 589-612 (PDF 380k)
by Richard G. Anderson and Charles S. Gascon
Data (xlsx)

Local Price Variation and Labor Supply Behavior pp. 613-626 (PDF 158k)
by Dan A. Black, Natalia Kolesnikova, and Lowell J. Taylor

What Happened to the U.S. Stock Market? Accounting for the Past 50 Years pp. 627-646 (PDF 216k)
by Michele Boldrin and Adrian Peralta-Alva
Data and Programs (.rar)

Review Index 2009 pp. 647-648 (PDF 55k)

A PDF reader can be downloaded from http://www.adobe.com. Blind and visually impaired users can obtain tools to access PDF files at http://access.adobe.com.

About | Contact Us | Privacy | Legal

Top of Page