FRED Economic Data | St. Louis Fed

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Smoothed U.S. Recession Probabilities    
Percent, Monthly, Not Seasonally Adjusted1967-06 to 2013-02 (May 1)
usa United States of America nation Country Level nsa Not seasonally adjusted monthly recession indicators academic data Time series data created mainly by academia to address growing demand in understanding specific concerns in the economy that are not well modeled by ordinary statistical agencies. chauvet & piger chauvet, m. and j. piger
 
NBER based Recession Indicators for the United States from the Period following the Peak through the Trough    
+1 or 0, Not Seasonally Adjusted
Monthly 1854-12 to 2013-03 (Apr 2)
Quarterly 1854:Q4 to 2012:Q4 (Feb 1)
Daily 1854-12-01 to 2013-03-31 (Apr 2)
usa United States of America nation Country Level nsa Not seasonally adjusted monthly frb stl Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis (source) nber National Bureau of Economic Research recession indicators peak trough quarterly daily
 
NBER based Recession Indicators for the United States from the Peak through the Trough    
+1 or 0, Not Seasonally Adjusted
Monthly 1854-12 to 2013-03 (Apr 2)
Quarterly 1854:Q4 to 2012:Q4 (Feb 1)
Daily 1854-12-01 to 2013-03-31 (Apr 2)
usa United States of America nation Country Level nsa Not seasonally adjusted monthly frb stl Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis (source) nber National Bureau of Economic Research recession indicators trough peak quarterly daily
 
OECD based Recession Indicators for the United States from the Peak through the Trough    
+1 or 0, Not Seasonally Adjusted
Monthly 1949-10 to 2013-03 (Apr 2)
Daily 1949-10-01 to 2013-03-31 (Apr 2)
usa United States of America nation Country Level nsa Not seasonally adjusted monthly frb stl Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis (source) oecd Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development recession indicators trough peak daily
 
NBER based Recession Indicators for the United States from the Peak through the Period preceding the Trough    
+1 or 0, Not Seasonally Adjusted
Monthly 1854-12 to 2013-03 (Apr 2)
Daily 1854-12-01 to 2013-03-31 (Apr 2)
Quarterly 1854:Q4 to 2012:Q4 (Feb 1)
usa United States of America nation Country Level nsa Not seasonally adjusted monthly frb stl Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis (source) nber National Bureau of Economic Research recession indicators trough peak daily quarterly
 
OECD based Recession Indicators for the United States from the Period following the Peak through the Trough    
+1 or 0, Not Seasonally Adjusted
Monthly 1949-10 to 2013-03 (Apr 2)
Daily 1949-10-01 to 2013-03-31 (Apr 2)
usa United States of America nation Country Level nsa Not seasonally adjusted monthly frb stl Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis (source) oecd Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development recession indicators peak trough daily
 
OECD based Recession Indicators for the United States from the Peak through the Period preceding the Trough    
+1 or 0, Not Seasonally Adjusted
Monthly 1949-10 to 2013-03 (Apr 2)
Daily 1949-10-01 to 2013-03-31 (Apr 2)
usa United States of America nation Country Level nsa Not seasonally adjusted monthly frb stl Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis (source) oecd Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development recession indicators peak trough daily
 

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