FRED Economic Data | St. Louis Fed

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  • nsa x 69,373Not seasonally adjusted
  • usa x 55,502United States of America
  • nation x 49,316Country Level
  • quarterly x 10,805
  • rate x 5,684
  • unemployment x 5,091
  • long-term x 19
  • cbo x 4U.S. Congress: Congressional Budget Office
  • nairu x 2Non-Accelerating Inflation Rate of Unemployment

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Natural Rate of Unemployment (Long-Term) (NROU)

2023:Q4: 5.25 Percent   Last 5 Observations

Quarterly, Not Seasonally Adjusted, Updated: 2013-02-05 3:16 PM CST

Source: U.S. Congress: Congressional Budget Office
Release: Budget and Economic Outlook
Notes:

The natural rate of unemployment (NAIRU) is the rate of unemployment arising from all sources except fluctuations in aggregate demand. Estimates of potential GDP are based on the long-term natural rate. (CBO did not make explicit adjustments to the short-term natural rate for structural factors before the recent downturn.) The short-term natural rate incorporates structural factors that are temporarily boosting the natural rate beginning in 2008. The short-term natural rate is used to gauge the amount of current and projected slack in labor markets, which is a key input into CBO's projections of inflation.



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