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State Leading Indexes

The leading index for each state predicts the six-month growth rate of the state’s coincident index. In addition to the coincident index, the models include other variables that lead the economy: state-level housing permits (1 to 4 units), state initial unemployment insurance claims, delivery times from the Institute for Supply Management (ISM) manufacturing survey, and the interest rate spread between the 10-year Treasury bond and the 3-month Treasury bill.

Leading Index for the United States    
Percent, Monthly, Seasonally Adjusted1982-01 to 2014-06 (Jul 29)
 
Leading Index for California    
Percent, Monthly, Seasonally Adjusted1982-01 to 2014-06 (Jul 29)
 
Leading Index for Kentucky    
Percent, Monthly, Seasonally Adjusted1982-01 to 2014-06 (Jul 29)
 
Leading Index for Texas    
Percent, Monthly, Seasonally Adjusted1982-01 to 2014-06 (Jul 29)
 
Leading Index for Arizona    
Percent, Monthly, Seasonally Adjusted1982-01 to 2014-06 (Jul 29)
 
Leading Index for Illinois    
Percent, Monthly, Seasonally Adjusted1982-01 to 2014-06 (Jul 29)
 
Leading Index for Florida    
Percent, Monthly, Seasonally Adjusted1982-01 to 2014-06 (Jul 29)
 
Leading Index for Minnesota    
Percent, Monthly, Seasonally Adjusted1982-01 to 2014-06 (Jul 29)
 
Leading Index for Washington    
Percent, Monthly, Seasonally Adjusted1982-01 to 2014-06 (Jul 29)
 
Leading Index for Oklahoma    
Percent, Monthly, Seasonally Adjusted1982-01 to 2014-06 (Jul 29)
 
Leading Index for Alabama    
Percent, Monthly, Seasonally Adjusted1982-01 to 2014-06 (Jul 29)
 
Leading Index for Kansas    
Percent, Monthly, Seasonally Adjusted1982-01 to 2014-06 (Jul 29)
 
Leading Index for Michigan    
Percent, Monthly, Seasonally Adjusted1982-01 to 2014-06 (Jul 29)
 
Leading Index for Virginia    
Percent, Monthly, Seasonally Adjusted1982-01 to 2014-06 (Jul 29)
 
Leading Index for Alaska    
Percent, Monthly, Seasonally Adjusted1982-01 to 2014-06 (Jul 29)
 
Leading Index for Ohio    
Percent, Monthly, Seasonally Adjusted1982-01 to 2014-06 (Jul 29)
 
Leading Index for Hawaii    
Percent, Monthly, Seasonally Adjusted1982-01 to 2014-06 (Jul 29)
 
Leading Index for Oregon    
Percent, Monthly, Seasonally Adjusted1982-01 to 2014-06 (Jul 29)
 
Leading Index for Connecticut    
Percent, Monthly, Seasonally Adjusted1982-01 to 2014-06 (Jul 29)
 
Leading Index for Nevada    
Percent, Monthly, Seasonally Adjusted1982-01 to 2014-06 (Jul 29)
 
Leading Index for Colorado    
Percent, Monthly, Seasonally Adjusted1982-01 to 2014-06 (Jul 29)
 
Leading Index for Georgia    
Percent, Monthly, Seasonally Adjusted1982-01 to 2014-06 (Jul 29)
 
Leading Index for New York    
Percent, Monthly, Seasonally Adjusted1982-01 to 2014-06 (Jul 29)
 
Leading Index for North Dakota    
Percent, Monthly, Seasonally Adjusted1982-01 to 2014-06 (Jul 29)
 
Leading Index for Vermont    
Percent, Monthly, Seasonally Adjusted1982-01 to 2014-06 (Jul 29)
 
Leading Index for Maine    
Percent, Monthly, Seasonally Adjusted1982-01 to 2014-06 (Jul 29)
 
Leading Index for Missouri    
Percent, Monthly, Seasonally Adjusted1982-01 to 2014-06 (Jul 29)
 
Leading Index for New Jersey    
Percent, Monthly, Seasonally Adjusted1982-01 to 2014-06 (Jul 29)
 
Leading Index for Utah    
Percent, Monthly, Seasonally Adjusted1982-01 to 2014-06 (Jul 29)
 
Leading Index for Idaho    
Percent, Monthly, Seasonally Adjusted1982-01 to 2014-06 (Jul 29)
 
Leading Index for Indiana    
Percent, Monthly, Seasonally Adjusted1982-01 to 2014-06 (Jul 29)
 
Leading Index for Iowa    
Percent, Monthly, Seasonally Adjusted1982-01 to 2014-06 (Jul 29)
 
Leading Index for Louisiana    
Percent, Monthly, Seasonally Adjusted1982-01 to 2014-06 (Jul 29)
 
Leading Index for Maryland    
Percent, Monthly, Seasonally Adjusted1982-01 to 2014-06 (Jul 29)
 
Leading Index for Montana    
Percent, Monthly, Seasonally Adjusted1982-01 to 2014-06 (Jul 29)
 
Leading Index for Nebraska    
Percent, Monthly, Seasonally Adjusted1982-01 to 2014-06 (Jul 29)
 
Leading Index for New Mexico    
Percent, Monthly, Seasonally Adjusted1982-01 to 2014-06 (Jul 29)
 
Leading Index for North Carolina    
Percent, Monthly, Seasonally Adjusted1982-01 to 2014-06 (Jul 29)
 
Leading Index for Pennsylvania    
Percent, Monthly, Seasonally Adjusted1982-01 to 2014-06 (Jul 29)
 
Leading Index for Rhode Island    
Percent, Monthly, Seasonally Adjusted1982-01 to 2014-06 (Jul 29)
 
Leading Index for South Carolina    
Percent, Monthly, Seasonally Adjusted1982-01 to 2014-06 (Jul 29)
 
Leading Index for South Dakota    
Percent, Monthly, Seasonally Adjusted1982-01 to 2014-06 (Jul 29)
 
Leading Index for Tennessee    
Percent, Monthly, Seasonally Adjusted1982-01 to 2014-06 (Jul 29)
 
Leading Index for Wisconsin    
Percent, Monthly, Seasonally Adjusted1982-01 to 2014-06 (Jul 29)
 
Leading Index for Delaware  
Percent, Monthly, Seasonally Adjusted1982-01 to 2014-06 (Jul 29)
 
Leading Index for Massachusetts  
Percent, Monthly, Seasonally Adjusted1982-01 to 2014-06 (Jul 29)
 
Leading Index for Wyoming  
Percent, Monthly, Seasonally Adjusted1982-01 to 2014-06 (Jul 29)
 
Leading Index for Arkansas  
Percent, Monthly, Seasonally Adjusted1982-01 to 2014-06 (Jul 29)
 
Leading Index for Mississippi  
Percent, Monthly, Seasonally Adjusted1982-01 to 2014-06 (Jul 29)
 
Leading Index for New Hampshire  
Percent, Monthly, Seasonally Adjusted1982-01 to 2014-06 (Jul 29)
 

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