Title: Leading Index for Wisconsin Series ID: WISLIND Source: Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia Release: State Leading Indexes Seasonal Adjustment: Seasonally Adjusted Frequency: Monthly Units: Percent Date Range: 1982-01-01 to 2013-04-01 Last Updated: 2013-05-28 10:18 AM CDT Notes: The leading index for each state predicts the six-month growth rate of the state's coincident index. In addition to the coincident index, the models include other variables that lead the economy: state-level housing permits (1 to 4 units), state initial unemployment insurance claims, delivery times from the Institute for Supply Management (ISM) manufacturing survey, and the interest rate spread between the 10-year Treasury bond and the 3-month Treasury bill. DATE VALUE 1982-01-01 -1.90 1982-02-01 -1.86 1982-03-01 -1.87 1982-04-01 -1.21 1982-05-01 -0.67 1982-06-01 -1.55 1982-07-01 -1.64 1982-08-01 -2.59 1982-09-01 -2.36 1982-10-01 -1.64 1982-11-01 0.28 1982-12-01 1.69 1983-01-01 2.18 1983-02-01 3.06 1983-03-01 3.92 1983-04-01 4.23 1983-05-01 3.97 1983-06-01 3.24 1983-07-01 2.79 1983-08-01 2.47 1983-09-01 4.21 1983-10-01 3.53 1983-11-01 4.19 1983-12-01 3.44 1984-01-01 3.54 1984-02-01 2.75 1984-03-01 3.20 1984-04-01 2.54 1984-05-01 2.28 1984-06-01 1.96 1984-07-01 1.76 1984-08-01 1.54 1984-09-01 1.32 1984-10-01 0.61 1984-11-01 0.81 1984-12-01 0.18 1985-01-01 0.96 1985-02-01 1.55 1985-03-01 2.26 1985-04-01 2.05 1985-05-01 1.59 1985-06-01 0.93 1985-07-01 1.57 1985-08-01 1.86 1985-09-01 1.80 1985-10-01 2.26 1985-11-01 2.13 1985-12-01 2.01 1986-01-01 1.97 1986-02-01 1.82 1986-03-01 1.93 1986-04-01 1.94 1986-05-01 1.83 1986-06-01 1.73 1986-07-01 2.25 1986-08-01 2.41 1986-09-01 2.26 1986-10-01 2.31 1986-11-01 2.28 1986-12-01 2.81 1987-01-01 2.86 1987-02-01 2.48 1987-03-01 2.15 1987-04-01 1.90 1987-05-01 1.98 1987-06-01 2.29 1987-07-01 2.27 1987-08-01 2.66 1987-09-01 3.03 1987-10-01 3.48 1987-11-01 3.95 1987-12-01 4.01 1988-01-01 1.19 1988-02-01 3.48 1988-03-01 3.09 1988-04-01 2.71 1988-05-01 2.22 1988-06-01 2.69 1988-07-01 1.93 1988-08-01 2.05 1988-09-01 2.45 1988-10-01 2.21 1988-11-01 2.30 1988-12-01 2.05 1989-01-01 1.72 1989-02-01 1.06 1989-03-01 0.81 1989-04-01 0.93 1989-05-01 1.35 1989-06-01 1.45 1989-07-01 1.24 1989-08-01 1.32 1989-09-01 1.80 1989-10-01 2.25 1989-11-01 2.56 1989-12-01 2.43 1990-01-01 2.10 1990-02-01 2.15 1990-03-01 2.07 1990-04-01 1.73 1990-05-01 1.48 1990-06-01 0.96 1990-07-01 0.38 1990-08-01 0.30 1990-09-01 -0.20 1990-10-01 -0.69 1990-11-01 -0.62 1990-12-01 -0.79 1991-01-01 -0.46 1991-02-01 0.33 1991-03-01 0.62 1991-04-01 1.44 1991-05-01 1.63 1991-06-01 1.86 1991-07-01 1.81 1991-08-01 1.79 1991-09-01 1.73 1991-10-01 2.25 1991-11-01 2.13 1991-12-01 2.72 1992-01-01 2.46 1992-02-01 2.19 1992-03-01 2.92 1992-04-01 2.51 1992-05-01 1.41 1992-06-01 1.69 1992-07-01 2.39 1992-08-01 2.29 1992-09-01 2.58 1992-10-01 2.20 1992-11-01 2.12 1992-12-01 1.87 1993-01-01 1.83 1993-02-01 1.68 1993-03-01 1.51 1993-04-01 1.86 1993-05-01 2.10 1993-06-01 1.91 1993-07-01 2.47 1993-08-01 2.57 1993-09-01 2.59 1993-10-01 2.34 1993-11-01 1.95 1993-12-01 2.15 1994-01-01 2.29 1994-02-01 2.65 1994-03-01 2.61 1994-04-01 2.62 1994-05-01 2.77 1994-06-01 3.03 1994-07-01 2.77 1994-08-01 2.32 1994-09-01 2.89 1994-10-01 2.64 1994-11-01 2.63 1994-12-01 1.79 1995-01-01 1.45 1995-02-01 0.73 1995-03-01 0.47 1995-04-01 0.51 1995-05-01 0.92 1995-06-01 1.40 1995-07-01 0.66 1995-08-01 0.93 1995-09-01 0.88 1995-10-01 1.08 1995-11-01 1.69 1995-12-01 1.77 1996-01-01 0.96 1996-02-01 0.68 1996-03-01 1.46 1996-04-01 1.53 1996-05-01 2.16 1996-06-01 1.82 1996-07-01 1.57 1996-08-01 1.75 1996-09-01 1.29 1996-10-01 1.47 1996-11-01 1.36 1996-12-01 1.27 1997-01-01 1.61 1997-02-01 1.66 1997-03-01 1.91 1997-04-01 2.14 1997-05-01 2.05 1997-06-01 1.79 1997-07-01 2.12 1997-08-01 2.16 1997-09-01 2.12 1997-10-01 1.76 1997-11-01 1.61 1997-12-01 1.50 1998-01-01 1.38 1998-02-01 1.42 1998-03-01 1.31 1998-04-01 1.54 1998-05-01 0.98 1998-06-01 0.86 1998-07-01 1.31 1998-08-01 1.64 1998-09-01 2.24 1998-10-01 2.32 1998-11-01 2.10 1998-12-01 1.62 1999-01-01 1.71 1999-02-01 1.84 1999-03-01 1.77 1999-04-01 1.44 1999-05-01 1.43 1999-06-01 1.65 1999-07-01 1.31 1999-08-01 1.10 1999-09-01 1.64 1999-10-01 1.82 1999-11-01 1.83 1999-12-01 1.71 2000-01-01 1.20 2000-02-01 0.88 2000-03-01 0.73 2000-04-01 0.42 2000-05-01 0.22 2000-06-01 0.21 2000-07-01 -0.01 2000-08-01 0.10 2000-09-01 -0.10 2000-10-01 0.14 2000-11-01 -0.28 2000-12-01 -0.32 2001-01-01 -0.40 2001-02-01 -1.10 2001-03-01 -1.26 2001-04-01 -1.33 2001-05-01 -1.10 2001-06-01 -0.88 2001-07-01 -0.90 2001-08-01 -1.04 2001-09-01 -1.29 2001-10-01 -0.94 2001-11-01 -0.31 2001-12-01 0.14 2002-01-01 0.48 2002-02-01 0.31 2002-03-01 0.88 2002-04-01 0.71 2002-05-01 0.79 2002-06-01 0.85 2002-07-01 0.68 2002-08-01 0.72 2002-09-01 0.73 2002-10-01 0.25 2002-11-01 -0.57 2002-12-01 -0.36 2003-01-01 0.02 2003-02-01 0.18 2003-03-01 0.07 2003-04-01 0.29 2003-05-01 0.09 2003-06-01 0.03 2003-07-01 1.01 2003-08-01 2.12 2003-09-01 1.97 2003-10-01 1.46 2003-11-01 1.14 2003-12-01 1.54 2004-01-01 1.35 2004-02-01 1.38 2004-03-01 1.44 2004-04-01 1.61 2004-05-01 1.90 2004-06-01 1.53 2004-07-01 1.24 2004-08-01 0.63 2004-09-01 0.62 2004-10-01 1.15 2004-11-01 0.80 2004-12-01 1.02 2005-01-01 0.98 2005-02-01 0.72 2005-03-01 0.69 2005-04-01 0.84 2005-05-01 0.62 2005-06-01 1.16 2005-07-01 1.01 2005-08-01 0.57 2005-09-01 0.71 2005-10-01 0.48 2005-11-01 1.12 2005-12-01 0.97 2006-01-01 0.92 2006-02-01 0.71 2006-03-01 0.95 2006-04-01 0.34 2006-05-01 0.66 2006-06-01 0.28 2006-07-01 0.04 2006-08-01 0.62 2006-09-01 0.51 2006-10-01 0.57 2006-11-01 0.77 2006-12-01 0.89 2007-01-01 0.30 2007-02-01 0.14 2007-03-01 0.58 2007-04-01 0.64 2007-05-01 0.89 2007-06-01 -0.17 2007-07-01 -0.27 2007-08-01 -0.32 2007-09-01 0.30 2007-10-01 0.93 2007-11-01 1.03 2007-12-01 0.80 2008-01-01 0.09 2008-02-01 -0.83 2008-03-01 -0.38 2008-04-01 -0.17 2008-05-01 -0.13 2008-06-01 -0.85 2008-07-01 -0.94 2008-08-01 -1.17 2008-09-01 -2.14 2008-10-01 -3.37 2008-11-01 -4.55 2008-12-01 -4.88 2009-01-01 -4.95 2009-02-01 -4.41 2009-03-01 -3.69 2009-04-01 -2.21 2009-05-01 -1.45 2009-06-01 -1.82 2009-07-01 -0.84 2009-08-01 -0.28 2009-09-01 0.19 2009-10-01 0.26 2009-11-01 0.26 2009-12-01 0.88 2010-01-01 1.19 2010-02-01 1.80 2010-03-01 1.76 2010-04-01 1.61 2010-05-01 1.32 2010-06-01 1.45 2010-07-01 1.64 2010-08-01 1.65 2010-09-01 1.73 2010-10-01 1.91 2010-11-01 1.15 2010-12-01 1.08 2011-01-01 1.43 2011-02-01 0.76 2011-03-01 0.79 2011-04-01 0.79 2011-05-01 0.89 2011-06-01 0.99 2011-07-01 1.12 2011-08-01 0.88 2011-09-01 0.95 2011-10-01 1.09 2011-11-01 1.50 2011-12-01 1.78 2012-01-01 1.93 2012-02-01 1.80 2012-03-01 1.05 2012-04-01 0.69 2012-05-01 0.62 2012-06-01 0.44 2012-07-01 0.40 2012-08-01 0.74 2012-09-01 0.66 2012-10-01 0.64 2012-11-01 0.97 2012-12-01 0.86 2013-01-01 0.48 2013-02-01 -0.58 2013-03-01 -1.71 2013-04-01 -0.74