Title: Leading Index for Wisconsin Series ID: WISLIND Source: Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia Release: State Leading Indexes Seasonal Adjustment: Seasonally Adjusted Frequency: Monthly Units: Percent Date Range: 1982-01-01 to 2013-03-01 Last Updated: 2013-04-30 9:20 AM CDT Notes: The leading index for each state predicts the six-month growth rate of the state's coincident index. In addition to the coincident index, the models include other variables that lead the economy: state-level housing permits (1 to 4 units), state initial unemployment insurance claims, delivery times from the Institute for Supply Management (ISM) manufacturing survey, and the interest rate spread between the 10-year Treasury bond and the 3-month Treasury bill. DATE VALUE 1982-01-01 -1.94 1982-02-01 -1.90 1982-03-01 -1.90 1982-04-01 -1.26 1982-05-01 -0.70 1982-06-01 -1.50 1982-07-01 -1.53 1982-08-01 -2.51 1982-09-01 -2.31 1982-10-01 -1.59 1982-11-01 0.34 1982-12-01 1.76 1983-01-01 2.19 1983-02-01 3.10 1983-03-01 4.00 1983-04-01 4.32 1983-05-01 4.02 1983-06-01 3.27 1983-07-01 2.80 1983-08-01 2.45 1983-09-01 4.18 1983-10-01 3.51 1983-11-01 4.20 1983-12-01 3.43 1984-01-01 3.54 1984-02-01 2.80 1984-03-01 3.23 1984-04-01 2.59 1984-05-01 2.29 1984-06-01 1.92 1984-07-01 1.74 1984-08-01 1.55 1984-09-01 1.30 1984-10-01 0.59 1984-11-01 0.78 1984-12-01 0.17 1985-01-01 0.94 1985-02-01 1.48 1985-03-01 2.20 1985-04-01 1.99 1985-05-01 1.56 1985-06-01 0.91 1985-07-01 1.58 1985-08-01 1.93 1985-09-01 1.87 1985-10-01 2.35 1985-11-01 2.17 1985-12-01 2.02 1986-01-01 2.02 1986-02-01 1.88 1986-03-01 1.98 1986-04-01 2.00 1986-05-01 1.87 1986-06-01 1.77 1986-07-01 2.25 1986-08-01 2.38 1986-09-01 2.25 1986-10-01 2.31 1986-11-01 2.30 1986-12-01 2.82 1987-01-01 2.85 1987-02-01 2.45 1987-03-01 2.14 1987-04-01 1.88 1987-05-01 1.95 1987-06-01 2.27 1987-07-01 2.27 1987-08-01 2.66 1987-09-01 3.03 1987-10-01 3.46 1987-11-01 3.94 1987-12-01 4.00 1988-01-01 1.17 1988-02-01 3.44 1988-03-01 3.10 1988-04-01 2.73 1988-05-01 2.23 1988-06-01 2.74 1988-07-01 1.96 1988-08-01 2.08 1988-09-01 2.49 1988-10-01 2.23 1988-11-01 2.30 1988-12-01 2.07 1989-01-01 1.75 1989-02-01 1.08 1989-03-01 0.78 1989-04-01 0.94 1989-05-01 1.34 1989-06-01 1.43 1989-07-01 1.28 1989-08-01 1.40 1989-09-01 1.89 1989-10-01 2.28 1989-11-01 2.59 1989-12-01 2.46 1990-01-01 2.14 1990-02-01 2.14 1990-03-01 2.05 1990-04-01 1.72 1990-05-01 1.47 1990-06-01 0.96 1990-07-01 0.35 1990-08-01 0.28 1990-09-01 -0.20 1990-10-01 -0.65 1990-11-01 -0.59 1990-12-01 -0.75 1991-01-01 -0.46 1991-02-01 0.33 1991-03-01 0.61 1991-04-01 1.40 1991-05-01 1.62 1991-06-01 1.86 1991-07-01 1.84 1991-08-01 1.81 1991-09-01 1.74 1991-10-01 2.30 1991-11-01 2.17 1991-12-01 2.74 1992-01-01 2.51 1992-02-01 2.23 1992-03-01 2.97 1992-04-01 2.54 1992-05-01 1.44 1992-06-01 1.71 1992-07-01 2.39 1992-08-01 2.27 1992-09-01 2.54 1992-10-01 2.16 1992-11-01 2.08 1992-12-01 1.86 1993-01-01 1.84 1993-02-01 1.70 1993-03-01 1.55 1993-04-01 1.91 1993-05-01 2.14 1993-06-01 1.94 1993-07-01 2.51 1993-08-01 2.61 1993-09-01 2.60 1993-10-01 2.33 1993-11-01 1.93 1993-12-01 2.11 1994-01-01 2.25 1994-02-01 2.65 1994-03-01 2.61 1994-04-01 2.63 1994-05-01 2.79 1994-06-01 3.03 1994-07-01 2.78 1994-08-01 2.40 1994-09-01 2.97 1994-10-01 2.72 1994-11-01 2.67 1994-12-01 1.82 1995-01-01 1.46 1995-02-01 0.68 1995-03-01 0.43 1995-04-01 0.48 1995-05-01 0.91 1995-06-01 1.45 1995-07-01 0.70 1995-08-01 0.95 1995-09-01 0.93 1995-10-01 1.12 1995-11-01 1.72 1995-12-01 1.79 1996-01-01 0.98 1996-02-01 0.69 1996-03-01 1.46 1996-04-01 1.54 1996-05-01 2.18 1996-06-01 1.83 1996-07-01 1.57 1996-08-01 1.72 1996-09-01 1.27 1996-10-01 1.44 1996-11-01 1.32 1996-12-01 1.27 1997-01-01 1.61 1997-02-01 1.69 1997-03-01 1.98 1997-04-01 2.18 1997-05-01 2.09 1997-06-01 1.83 1997-07-01 2.17 1997-08-01 2.18 1997-09-01 2.09 1997-10-01 1.75 1997-11-01 1.60 1997-12-01 1.52 1998-01-01 1.39 1998-02-01 1.43 1998-03-01 1.33 1998-04-01 1.54 1998-05-01 0.96 1998-06-01 0.82 1998-07-01 1.32 1998-08-01 1.64 1998-09-01 2.27 1998-10-01 2.36 1998-11-01 2.14 1998-12-01 1.65 1999-01-01 1.77 1999-02-01 1.90 1999-03-01 1.82 1999-04-01 1.46 1999-05-01 1.47 1999-06-01 1.67 1999-07-01 1.28 1999-08-01 1.07 1999-09-01 1.62 1999-10-01 1.82 1999-11-01 1.82 1999-12-01 1.72 2000-01-01 1.22 2000-02-01 0.92 2000-03-01 0.81 2000-04-01 0.51 2000-05-01 0.28 2000-06-01 0.23 2000-07-01 0.01 2000-08-01 0.13 2000-09-01 -0.10 2000-10-01 0.12 2000-11-01 -0.25 2000-12-01 -0.27 2001-01-01 -0.40 2001-02-01 -1.10 2001-03-01 -1.27 2001-04-01 -1.31 2001-05-01 -1.09 2001-06-01 -0.84 2001-07-01 -0.81 2001-08-01 -0.97 2001-09-01 -1.22 2001-10-01 -0.88 2001-11-01 -0.29 2001-12-01 0.14 2002-01-01 0.48 2002-02-01 0.30 2002-03-01 0.86 2002-04-01 0.72 2002-05-01 0.79 2002-06-01 0.86 2002-07-01 0.71 2002-08-01 0.77 2002-09-01 0.79 2002-10-01 0.29 2002-11-01 -0.57 2002-12-01 -0.38 2003-01-01 0.00 2003-02-01 0.16 2003-03-01 0.05 2003-04-01 0.29 2003-05-01 0.10 2003-06-01 0.06 2003-07-01 1.04 2003-08-01 2.13 2003-09-01 1.99 2003-10-01 1.48 2003-11-01 1.18 2003-12-01 1.58 2004-01-01 1.41 2004-02-01 1.42 2004-03-01 1.49 2004-04-01 1.62 2004-05-01 1.89 2004-06-01 1.47 2004-07-01 1.16 2004-08-01 0.58 2004-09-01 0.58 2004-10-01 1.15 2004-11-01 0.83 2004-12-01 1.06 2005-01-01 1.00 2005-02-01 0.71 2005-03-01 0.69 2005-04-01 0.82 2005-05-01 0.58 2005-06-01 1.15 2005-07-01 1.03 2005-08-01 0.62 2005-09-01 0.80 2005-10-01 0.58 2005-11-01 1.14 2005-12-01 0.98 2006-01-01 0.96 2006-02-01 0.75 2006-03-01 0.97 2006-04-01 0.35 2006-05-01 0.68 2006-06-01 0.27 2006-07-01 0.01 2006-08-01 0.58 2006-09-01 0.45 2006-10-01 0.51 2006-11-01 0.71 2006-12-01 0.87 2007-01-01 0.27 2007-02-01 0.14 2007-03-01 0.62 2007-04-01 0.68 2007-05-01 0.92 2007-06-01 -0.18 2007-07-01 -0.28 2007-08-01 -0.35 2007-09-01 0.26 2007-10-01 0.92 2007-11-01 1.03 2007-12-01 0.83 2008-01-01 0.08 2008-02-01 -0.90 2008-03-01 -0.45 2008-04-01 -0.21 2008-05-01 -0.18 2008-06-01 -0.88 2008-07-01 -0.96 2008-08-01 -1.20 2008-09-01 -2.12 2008-10-01 -3.37 2008-11-01 -4.55 2008-12-01 -4.85 2009-01-01 -4.92 2009-02-01 -4.39 2009-03-01 -3.76 2009-04-01 -2.25 2009-05-01 -1.36 2009-06-01 -1.74 2009-07-01 -0.79 2009-08-01 -0.30 2009-09-01 0.17 2009-10-01 0.21 2009-11-01 0.20 2009-12-01 0.90 2010-01-01 1.25 2010-02-01 1.78 2010-03-01 1.76 2010-04-01 1.67 2010-05-01 1.50 2010-06-01 1.38 2010-07-01 1.56 2010-08-01 1.61 2010-09-01 1.57 2010-10-01 1.71 2010-11-01 1.14 2010-12-01 1.10 2011-01-01 1.57 2011-02-01 0.82 2011-03-01 0.85 2011-04-01 0.65 2011-05-01 0.81 2011-06-01 1.07 2011-07-01 1.13 2011-08-01 0.88 2011-09-01 0.92 2011-10-01 1.10 2011-11-01 1.56 2011-12-01 1.85 2012-01-01 2.09 2012-02-01 1.87 2012-03-01 0.98 2012-04-01 0.46 2012-05-01 0.52 2012-06-01 0.49 2012-07-01 0.41 2012-08-01 0.82 2012-09-01 0.86 2012-10-01 0.75 2012-11-01 1.24 2012-12-01 1.47 2013-01-01 1.68 2013-02-01 1.13 2013-03-01 0.42