Title: Leading Index for Virginia Series ID: VASLIND Source: Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia Release: State Leading Indexes Seasonal Adjustment: Seasonally Adjusted Frequency: Monthly Units: Percent Date Range: 1982-01-01 to 2013-03-01 Last Updated: 2013-04-30 9:21 AM CDT Notes: The leading index for each state predicts the six-month growth rate of the state's coincident index. In addition to the coincident index, the models include other variables that lead the economy: state-level housing permits (1 to 4 units), state initial unemployment insurance claims, delivery times from the Institute for Supply Management (ISM) manufacturing survey, and the interest rate spread between the 10-year Treasury bond and the 3-month Treasury bill. DATE VALUE 1982-01-01 -0.37 1982-02-01 0.49 1982-03-01 0.51 1982-04-01 0.57 1982-05-01 0.52 1982-06-01 0.55 1982-07-01 0.38 1982-08-01 0.54 1982-09-01 0.91 1982-10-01 1.27 1982-11-01 1.80 1982-12-01 2.47 1983-01-01 2.87 1983-02-01 4.19 1983-03-01 4.82 1983-04-01 4.04 1983-05-01 4.33 1983-06-01 3.60 1983-07-01 3.36 1983-08-01 2.87 1983-09-01 3.10 1983-10-01 3.00 1983-11-01 3.15 1983-12-01 4.11 1984-01-01 4.52 1984-02-01 3.36 1984-03-01 3.15 1984-04-01 3.57 1984-05-01 3.63 1984-06-01 3.98 1984-07-01 3.98 1984-08-01 3.54 1984-09-01 3.54 1984-10-01 3.46 1984-11-01 2.82 1984-12-01 3.14 1985-01-01 3.48 1985-02-01 3.15 1985-03-01 3.06 1985-04-01 3.39 1985-05-01 2.85 1985-06-01 2.44 1985-07-01 3.36 1985-08-01 4.12 1985-09-01 3.80 1985-10-01 3.57 1985-11-01 3.07 1985-12-01 2.76 1986-01-01 2.34 1986-02-01 2.24 1986-03-01 2.55 1986-04-01 2.73 1986-05-01 2.65 1986-06-01 2.77 1986-07-01 3.18 1986-08-01 3.33 1986-09-01 3.68 1986-10-01 3.61 1986-11-01 3.56 1986-12-01 3.76 1987-01-01 3.51 1987-02-01 3.08 1987-03-01 3.15 1987-04-01 2.85 1987-05-01 2.88 1987-06-01 2.88 1987-07-01 2.85 1987-08-01 2.21 1987-09-01 1.97 1987-10-01 2.25 1987-11-01 2.24 1987-12-01 2.41 1988-01-01 2.21 1988-02-01 2.01 1988-03-01 2.02 1988-04-01 2.17 1988-05-01 2.13 1988-06-01 2.00 1988-07-01 2.25 1988-08-01 1.80 1988-09-01 2.05 1988-10-01 2.19 1988-11-01 2.49 1988-12-01 2.24 1989-01-01 1.98 1989-02-01 2.00 1989-03-01 1.47 1989-04-01 1.32 1989-05-01 1.16 1989-06-01 1.48 1989-07-01 1.02 1989-08-01 0.84 1989-09-01 1.29 1989-10-01 1.00 1989-11-01 1.44 1989-12-01 1.24 1990-01-01 0.61 1990-02-01 0.67 1990-03-01 0.23 1990-04-01 -0.09 1990-05-01 -0.57 1990-06-01 -1.01 1990-07-01 -1.24 1990-08-01 -1.45 1990-09-01 -2.28 1990-10-01 -2.22 1990-11-01 -2.36 1990-12-01 -2.42 1991-01-01 -2.27 1991-02-01 -1.13 1991-03-01 -0.77 1991-04-01 -0.36 1991-05-01 0.29 1991-06-01 0.26 1991-07-01 0.25 1991-08-01 0.27 1991-09-01 -0.03 1991-10-01 0.18 1991-11-01 0.06 1991-12-01 0.69 1992-01-01 1.08 1992-02-01 1.13 1992-03-01 1.79 1992-04-01 2.04 1992-05-01 1.76 1992-06-01 1.85 1992-07-01 2.09 1992-08-01 1.77 1992-09-01 1.95 1992-10-01 2.49 1992-11-01 1.91 1992-12-01 1.64 1993-01-01 2.09 1993-02-01 2.07 1993-03-01 1.34 1993-04-01 2.05 1993-05-01 2.31 1993-06-01 2.08 1993-07-01 1.98 1993-08-01 2.45 1993-09-01 2.11 1993-10-01 1.89 1993-11-01 1.85 1993-12-01 1.27 1994-01-01 1.85 1994-02-01 2.15 1994-03-01 2.48 1994-04-01 2.65 1994-05-01 2.40 1994-06-01 2.14 1994-07-01 2.18 1994-08-01 2.00 1994-09-01 1.78 1994-10-01 1.52 1994-11-01 1.42 1994-12-01 1.76 1995-01-01 1.34 1995-02-01 0.43 1995-03-01 0.49 1995-04-01 0.57 1995-05-01 0.42 1995-06-01 0.76 1995-07-01 0.61 1995-08-01 0.87 1995-09-01 1.03 1995-10-01 1.23 1995-11-01 1.48 1995-12-01 0.80 1996-01-01 1.09 1996-02-01 2.74 1996-03-01 2.38 1996-04-01 2.04 1996-05-01 2.24 1996-06-01 2.58 1996-07-01 2.62 1996-08-01 1.99 1996-09-01 2.37 1996-10-01 2.43 1996-11-01 1.93 1996-12-01 1.99 1997-01-01 2.03 1997-02-01 1.84 1997-03-01 2.00 1997-04-01 1.65 1997-05-01 1.68 1997-06-01 1.75 1997-07-01 1.80 1997-08-01 1.99 1997-09-01 2.50 1997-10-01 2.06 1997-11-01 1.69 1997-12-01 1.82 1998-01-01 1.50 1998-02-01 1.65 1998-03-01 2.24 1998-04-01 2.17 1998-05-01 2.32 1998-06-01 2.05 1998-07-01 1.89 1998-08-01 2.38 1998-09-01 2.05 1998-10-01 2.01 1998-11-01 2.53 1998-12-01 2.33 1999-01-01 1.91 1999-02-01 1.45 1999-03-01 1.23 1999-04-01 0.88 1999-05-01 0.67 1999-06-01 1.53 1999-07-01 1.37 1999-08-01 1.84 1999-09-01 2.49 1999-10-01 2.27 1999-11-01 2.34 1999-12-01 2.35 2000-01-01 2.76 2000-02-01 2.39 2000-03-01 2.04 2000-04-01 1.95 2000-05-01 1.36 2000-06-01 1.24 2000-07-01 1.09 2000-08-01 1.16 2000-09-01 1.16 2000-10-01 0.37 2000-11-01 0.30 2000-12-01 -0.32 2001-01-01 -0.65 2001-02-01 -0.52 2001-03-01 -0.88 2001-04-01 -0.81 2001-05-01 -0.61 2001-06-01 -0.87 2001-07-01 -0.97 2001-08-01 -1.29 2001-09-01 -1.70 2001-10-01 -1.11 2001-11-01 -0.04 2001-12-01 0.19 2002-01-01 0.61 2002-02-01 0.45 2002-03-01 0.35 2002-04-01 0.10 2002-05-01 0.29 2002-06-01 0.51 2002-07-01 0.45 2002-08-01 0.17 2002-09-01 0.12 2002-10-01 -0.19 2002-11-01 0.02 2002-12-01 0.17 2003-01-01 0.23 2003-02-01 0.12 2003-03-01 0.37 2003-04-01 0.99 2003-05-01 0.96 2003-06-01 1.09 2003-07-01 2.07 2003-08-01 1.91 2003-09-01 2.37 2003-10-01 2.49 2003-11-01 2.28 2003-12-01 2.20 2004-01-01 2.10 2004-02-01 2.24 2004-03-01 1.47 2004-04-01 1.33 2004-05-01 1.81 2004-06-01 1.84 2004-07-01 2.02 2004-08-01 1.35 2004-09-01 1.87 2004-10-01 1.99 2004-11-01 1.32 2004-12-01 1.40 2005-01-01 1.34 2005-02-01 1.38 2005-03-01 1.45 2005-04-01 1.43 2005-05-01 1.30 2005-06-01 1.34 2005-07-01 1.42 2005-08-01 1.41 2005-09-01 1.44 2005-10-01 1.00 2005-11-01 1.41 2005-12-01 1.50 2006-01-01 1.51 2006-02-01 1.10 2006-03-01 0.51 2006-04-01 0.50 2006-05-01 0.39 2006-06-01 0.13 2006-07-01 0.14 2006-08-01 0.25 2006-09-01 0.98 2006-10-01 0.99 2006-11-01 1.30 2006-12-01 1.25 2007-01-01 1.21 2007-02-01 0.63 2007-03-01 0.50 2007-04-01 0.34 2007-05-01 0.38 2007-06-01 0.06 2007-07-01 0.30 2007-08-01 0.35 2007-09-01 0.05 2007-10-01 0.40 2007-11-01 0.27 2007-12-01 0.42 2008-01-01 0.29 2008-02-01 -0.22 2008-03-01 -0.75 2008-04-01 -0.73 2008-05-01 -1.06 2008-06-01 -1.38 2008-07-01 -1.22 2008-08-01 -1.56 2008-09-01 -1.70 2008-10-01 -2.44 2008-11-01 -2.86 2008-12-01 -2.92 2009-01-01 -3.36 2009-02-01 -2.61 2009-03-01 -2.14 2009-04-01 -1.46 2009-05-01 -0.79 2009-06-01 -0.60 2009-07-01 -0.38 2009-08-01 -0.46 2009-09-01 -0.37 2009-10-01 -0.46 2009-11-01 -0.57 2009-12-01 -0.10 2010-01-01 0.44 2010-02-01 1.06 2010-03-01 2.04 2010-04-01 2.40 2010-05-01 1.53 2010-06-01 1.19 2010-07-01 0.77 2010-08-01 0.72 2010-09-01 0.79 2010-10-01 0.68 2010-11-01 0.89 2010-12-01 1.27 2011-01-01 1.41 2011-02-01 1.40 2011-03-01 0.94 2011-04-01 0.83 2011-05-01 0.16 2011-06-01 0.44 2011-07-01 0.88 2011-08-01 0.96 2011-09-01 1.08 2011-10-01 1.26 2011-11-01 1.51 2011-12-01 1.08 2012-01-01 1.41 2012-02-01 0.64 2012-03-01 0.21 2012-04-01 0.38 2012-05-01 0.22 2012-06-01 0.34 2012-07-01 1.26 2012-08-01 1.53 2012-09-01 1.01 2012-10-01 1.51 2012-11-01 1.34 2012-12-01 1.09 2013-01-01 0.95 2013-02-01 1.77 2013-03-01 2.49