Title: Leading Index for Texas Series ID: TXSLIND Source: Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia Release: State Leading Indexes Seasonal Adjustment: Seasonally Adjusted Frequency: Monthly Units: Percent Date Range: 1982-01-01 to 2013-04-01 Last Updated: 2013-05-28 10:18 AM CDT Notes: The leading index for each state predicts the six-month growth rate of the state's coincident index. In addition to the coincident index, the models include other variables that lead the economy: state-level housing permits (1 to 4 units), state initial unemployment insurance claims, delivery times from the Institute for Supply Management (ISM) manufacturing survey, and the interest rate spread between the 10-year Treasury bond and the 3-month Treasury bill. DATE VALUE 1982-01-01 -0.76 1982-02-01 -1.50 1982-03-01 -1.95 1982-04-01 -2.45 1982-05-01 -2.80 1982-06-01 -2.79 1982-07-01 -2.91 1982-08-01 -2.81 1982-09-01 -2.38 1982-10-01 -1.69 1982-11-01 -0.81 1982-12-01 -0.12 1983-01-01 0.39 1983-02-01 1.07 1983-03-01 1.59 1983-04-01 2.05 1983-05-01 2.46 1983-06-01 3.04 1983-07-01 3.48 1983-08-01 4.00 1983-09-01 4.41 1983-10-01 4.32 1983-11-01 4.39 1983-12-01 4.10 1984-01-01 3.94 1984-02-01 3.80 1984-03-01 3.66 1984-04-01 3.55 1984-05-01 3.13 1984-06-01 2.74 1984-07-01 2.23 1984-08-01 2.10 1984-09-01 1.78 1984-10-01 1.53 1984-11-01 1.45 1984-12-01 1.18 1985-01-01 1.12 1985-02-01 1.10 1985-03-01 1.03 1985-04-01 0.89 1985-05-01 0.65 1985-06-01 0.61 1985-07-01 0.68 1985-08-01 0.43 1985-09-01 0.03 1985-10-01 -0.28 1985-11-01 -0.96 1985-12-01 -1.89 1986-01-01 -3.40 1986-02-01 -5.05 1986-03-01 -2.28 1986-04-01 -2.14 1986-05-01 -2.02 1986-06-01 -1.50 1986-07-01 -1.05 1986-08-01 -0.84 1986-09-01 -0.54 1986-10-01 -0.04 1986-11-01 0.31 1986-12-01 0.73 1987-01-01 1.01 1987-02-01 1.00 1987-03-01 1.27 1987-04-01 1.51 1987-05-01 1.82 1987-06-01 2.16 1987-07-01 2.08 1987-08-01 2.04 1987-09-01 2.08 1987-10-01 2.15 1987-11-01 2.12 1987-12-01 2.10 1988-01-01 2.27 1988-02-01 2.32 1988-03-01 2.23 1988-04-01 2.16 1988-05-01 2.07 1988-06-01 1.84 1988-07-01 1.57 1988-08-01 1.41 1988-09-01 1.51 1988-10-01 1.35 1988-11-01 1.58 1988-12-01 1.50 1989-01-01 1.35 1989-02-01 1.70 1989-03-01 1.81 1989-04-01 1.78 1989-05-01 2.02 1989-06-01 2.20 1989-07-01 2.25 1989-08-01 2.66 1989-09-01 2.66 1989-10-01 2.84 1989-11-01 3.10 1989-12-01 3.19 1990-01-01 2.94 1990-02-01 2.86 1990-03-01 2.43 1990-04-01 2.24 1990-05-01 1.94 1990-06-01 1.36 1990-07-01 0.98 1990-08-01 0.65 1990-09-01 0.26 1990-10-01 0.18 1990-11-01 0.07 1990-12-01 0.10 1991-01-01 0.37 1991-02-01 0.64 1991-03-01 0.68 1991-04-01 0.99 1991-05-01 1.07 1991-06-01 1.09 1991-07-01 1.17 1991-08-01 1.05 1991-09-01 0.80 1991-10-01 0.74 1991-11-01 0.72 1991-12-01 0.88 1992-01-01 1.01 1992-02-01 1.27 1992-03-01 1.46 1992-04-01 1.47 1992-05-01 1.56 1992-06-01 1.72 1992-07-01 1.87 1992-08-01 1.77 1992-09-01 2.02 1992-10-01 1.97 1992-11-01 1.86 1992-12-01 1.92 1993-01-01 2.01 1993-02-01 2.16 1993-03-01 2.28 1993-04-01 2.21 1993-05-01 2.14 1993-06-01 2.06 1993-07-01 2.06 1993-08-01 1.90 1993-09-01 2.00 1993-10-01 1.94 1993-11-01 2.11 1993-12-01 2.36 1994-01-01 2.39 1994-02-01 2.75 1994-03-01 3.13 1994-04-01 3.01 1994-05-01 3.16 1994-06-01 2.91 1994-07-01 2.82 1994-08-01 2.65 1994-09-01 2.82 1994-10-01 2.56 1994-11-01 2.30 1994-12-01 2.09 1995-01-01 1.86 1995-02-01 1.91 1995-03-01 1.82 1995-04-01 1.59 1995-05-01 1.71 1995-06-01 1.87 1995-07-01 1.88 1995-08-01 1.91 1995-09-01 1.92 1995-10-01 1.88 1995-11-01 1.99 1995-12-01 1.84 1996-01-01 1.94 1996-02-01 2.21 1996-03-01 2.20 1996-04-01 2.42 1996-05-01 2.43 1996-06-01 2.77 1996-07-01 2.68 1996-08-01 2.92 1996-09-01 2.84 1996-10-01 2.95 1996-11-01 2.77 1996-12-01 2.76 1997-01-01 2.99 1997-02-01 3.18 1997-03-01 3.07 1997-04-01 3.17 1997-05-01 2.99 1997-06-01 3.12 1997-07-01 3.02 1997-08-01 2.84 1997-09-01 3.06 1997-10-01 3.09 1997-11-01 2.86 1997-12-01 2.71 1998-01-01 2.71 1998-02-01 2.56 1998-03-01 2.23 1998-04-01 2.39 1998-05-01 2.14 1998-06-01 1.94 1998-07-01 1.72 1998-08-01 1.81 1998-09-01 1.67 1998-10-01 1.55 1998-11-01 1.62 1998-12-01 1.34 1999-01-01 1.22 1999-02-01 1.25 1999-03-01 1.38 1999-04-01 1.59 1999-05-01 1.81 1999-06-01 1.98 1999-07-01 2.33 1999-08-01 2.43 1999-09-01 2.58 1999-10-01 2.71 1999-11-01 2.54 1999-12-01 2.57 2000-01-01 2.30 2000-02-01 2.24 2000-03-01 2.22 2000-04-01 1.99 2000-05-01 1.93 2000-06-01 1.91 2000-07-01 1.56 2000-08-01 1.65 2000-09-01 1.44 2000-10-01 1.04 2000-11-01 0.81 2000-12-01 0.55 2001-01-01 0.13 2001-02-01 -0.28 2001-03-01 -0.69 2001-04-01 -0.94 2001-05-01 -0.92 2001-06-01 -1.17 2001-07-01 -1.16 2001-08-01 -1.23 2001-09-01 -0.86 2001-10-01 -1.01 2001-11-01 -0.71 2001-12-01 -0.45 2002-01-01 -0.04 2002-02-01 -0.12 2002-03-01 -0.02 2002-04-01 0.09 2002-05-01 -0.16 2002-06-01 -0.02 2002-07-01 0.05 2002-08-01 0.08 2002-09-01 -0.18 2002-10-01 -0.35 2002-11-01 -0.27 2002-12-01 -0.34 2003-01-01 -0.08 2003-02-01 -0.02 2003-03-01 0.21 2003-04-01 0.17 2003-05-01 0.51 2003-06-01 0.55 2003-07-01 1.16 2003-08-01 1.61 2003-09-01 1.53 2003-10-01 1.59 2003-11-01 1.62 2003-12-01 1.68 2004-01-01 1.63 2004-02-01 1.33 2004-03-01 1.22 2004-04-01 1.39 2004-05-01 1.38 2004-06-01 1.63 2004-07-01 1.45 2004-08-01 1.46 2004-09-01 1.55 2004-10-01 1.75 2004-11-01 1.92 2004-12-01 1.93 2005-01-01 2.18 2005-02-01 2.43 2005-03-01 2.27 2005-04-01 2.34 2005-05-01 2.59 2005-06-01 2.41 2005-07-01 2.29 2005-08-01 2.17 2005-09-01 2.18 2005-10-01 2.43 2005-11-01 2.38 2005-12-01 2.56 2006-01-01 2.69 2006-02-01 2.37 2006-03-01 2.24 2006-04-01 2.33 2006-05-01 2.39 2006-06-01 2.52 2006-07-01 2.48 2006-08-01 2.87 2006-09-01 2.92 2006-10-01 2.86 2006-11-01 2.78 2006-12-01 2.58 2007-01-01 2.41 2007-02-01 2.58 2007-03-01 2.44 2007-04-01 2.22 2007-05-01 1.92 2007-06-01 1.86 2007-07-01 1.73 2007-08-01 1.66 2007-09-01 1.62 2007-10-01 1.46 2007-11-01 1.75 2007-12-01 1.67 2008-01-01 1.57 2008-02-01 1.28 2008-03-01 0.78 2008-04-01 0.51 2008-05-01 -0.02 2008-06-01 -0.01 2008-07-01 -0.58 2008-08-01 -1.07 2008-09-01 -2.01 2008-10-01 -2.67 2008-11-01 -3.25 2008-12-01 -3.51 2009-01-01 -3.60 2009-02-01 -3.25 2009-03-01 -2.91 2009-04-01 -2.82 2009-05-01 -1.85 2009-06-01 -1.11 2009-07-01 -0.55 2009-08-01 0.19 2009-09-01 0.84 2009-10-01 1.01 2009-11-01 1.53 2009-12-01 1.88 2010-01-01 2.08 2010-02-01 1.74 2010-03-01 1.77 2010-04-01 1.73 2010-05-01 1.64 2010-06-01 1.72 2010-07-01 1.65 2010-08-01 1.55 2010-09-01 1.87 2010-10-01 1.87 2010-11-01 1.54 2010-12-01 1.57 2011-01-01 1.77 2011-02-01 1.76 2011-03-01 1.80 2011-04-01 1.60 2011-05-01 1.33 2011-06-01 1.37 2011-07-01 1.51 2011-08-01 1.86 2011-09-01 2.16 2011-10-01 2.69 2011-11-01 2.86 2011-12-01 2.60 2012-01-01 2.67 2012-02-01 2.32 2012-03-01 2.22 2012-04-01 1.99 2012-05-01 1.96 2012-06-01 2.05 2012-07-01 2.25 2012-08-01 2.39 2012-09-01 2.53 2012-10-01 2.30 2012-11-01 2.18 2012-12-01 1.93 2013-01-01 1.40 2013-02-01 1.53 2013-03-01 1.57 2013-04-01 1.57