Title: Leading Index for Connecticut Series ID: CTSLIND Source: Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia Release: State Leading Indexes Seasonal Adjustment: Seasonally Adjusted Frequency: Monthly Units: Percent Date Range: 1982-01-01 to 2013-03-01 Last Updated: 2013-04-30 9:20 AM CDT Notes: The leading index for each state predicts the six-month growth rate of the state's coincident index. In addition to the coincident index, the models include other variables that lead the economy: state-level housing permits (1 to 4 units), state initial unemployment insurance claims, delivery times from the Institute for Supply Management (ISM) manufacturing survey, and the interest rate spread between the 10-year Treasury bond and the 3-month Treasury bill. DATE VALUE 1982-01-01 0.17 1982-02-01 0.89 1982-03-01 0.79 1982-04-01 0.67 1982-05-01 1.09 1982-06-01 1.20 1982-07-01 0.80 1982-08-01 -0.34 1982-09-01 0.06 1982-10-01 0.05 1982-11-01 0.59 1982-12-01 1.96 1983-01-01 2.45 1983-02-01 3.97 1983-03-01 4.71 1983-04-01 4.48 1983-05-01 4.63 1983-06-01 4.69 1983-07-01 4.34 1983-08-01 4.04 1983-09-01 4.02 1983-10-01 3.95 1983-11-01 4.64 1983-12-01 4.59 1984-01-01 4.17 1984-02-01 4.32 1984-03-01 4.42 1984-04-01 3.94 1984-05-01 3.55 1984-06-01 3.85 1984-07-01 3.33 1984-08-01 3.01 1984-09-01 2.60 1984-10-01 2.68 1984-11-01 2.71 1984-12-01 2.46 1985-01-01 1.86 1985-02-01 2.08 1985-03-01 2.02 1985-04-01 2.40 1985-05-01 2.44 1985-06-01 2.64 1985-07-01 2.47 1985-08-01 2.88 1985-09-01 3.21 1985-10-01 3.72 1985-11-01 3.25 1985-12-01 3.18 1986-01-01 3.79 1986-02-01 3.38 1986-03-01 3.07 1986-04-01 3.34 1986-05-01 2.96 1986-06-01 2.84 1986-07-01 2.97 1986-08-01 2.81 1986-09-01 2.67 1986-10-01 2.91 1986-11-01 3.18 1986-12-01 2.38 1987-01-01 2.65 1987-02-01 2.78 1987-03-01 3.64 1987-04-01 3.38 1987-05-01 2.80 1987-06-01 2.85 1987-07-01 2.34 1987-08-01 1.98 1987-09-01 2.28 1987-10-01 2.84 1987-11-01 2.62 1987-12-01 2.48 1988-01-01 2.99 1988-02-01 1.76 1988-03-01 0.75 1988-04-01 0.95 1988-05-01 1.44 1988-06-01 1.10 1988-07-01 0.91 1988-08-01 1.27 1988-09-01 1.14 1988-10-01 1.28 1988-11-01 1.30 1988-12-01 1.14 1989-01-01 1.06 1989-02-01 0.33 1989-03-01 -0.41 1989-04-01 -0.58 1989-05-01 -0.71 1989-06-01 -0.50 1989-07-01 -0.84 1989-08-01 -0.75 1989-09-01 -1.43 1989-10-01 -1.10 1989-11-01 -0.86 1989-12-01 -1.56 1990-01-01 -1.23 1990-02-01 -0.63 1990-03-01 -0.76 1990-04-01 -1.24 1990-05-01 -0.61 1990-06-01 -0.90 1990-07-01 -1.23 1990-08-01 -1.11 1990-09-01 -1.80 1990-10-01 -2.86 1990-11-01 -2.63 1990-12-01 -2.22 1991-01-01 -2.09 1991-02-01 -2.07 1991-03-01 -1.73 1991-04-01 -1.60 1991-05-01 -1.35 1991-06-01 -0.78 1991-07-01 -0.57 1991-08-01 -0.27 1991-09-01 -0.72 1991-10-01 -0.53 1991-11-01 -0.65 1991-12-01 -0.89 1992-01-01 -0.14 1992-02-01 0.00 1992-03-01 0.44 1992-04-01 1.10 1992-05-01 1.23 1992-06-01 1.58 1992-07-01 1.77 1992-08-01 1.05 1992-09-01 1.55 1992-10-01 1.57 1992-11-01 2.29 1992-12-01 2.38 1993-01-01 2.06 1993-02-01 2.04 1993-03-01 1.14 1993-04-01 0.85 1993-05-01 1.85 1993-06-01 1.79 1993-07-01 1.87 1993-08-01 2.84 1993-09-01 2.63 1993-10-01 1.46 1993-11-01 1.47 1993-12-01 0.93 1994-01-01 1.41 1994-02-01 1.68 1994-03-01 1.74 1994-04-01 1.94 1994-05-01 1.62 1994-06-01 2.00 1994-07-01 2.13 1994-08-01 1.60 1994-09-01 1.98 1994-10-01 2.02 1994-11-01 1.43 1994-12-01 1.70 1995-01-01 1.02 1995-02-01 0.58 1995-03-01 0.97 1995-04-01 0.44 1995-05-01 0.64 1995-06-01 1.62 1995-07-01 1.32 1995-08-01 1.75 1995-09-01 1.53 1995-10-01 1.18 1995-11-01 1.58 1995-12-01 1.49 1996-01-01 1.36 1996-02-01 2.11 1996-03-01 1.74 1996-04-01 2.67 1996-05-01 2.66 1996-06-01 1.98 1996-07-01 1.87 1996-08-01 1.84 1996-09-01 1.68 1996-10-01 2.10 1996-11-01 1.87 1996-12-01 1.56 1997-01-01 2.10 1997-02-01 1.88 1997-03-01 2.31 1997-04-01 2.39 1997-05-01 2.29 1997-06-01 2.07 1997-07-01 2.53 1997-08-01 2.79 1997-09-01 3.29 1997-10-01 3.02 1997-11-01 2.96 1997-12-01 2.74 1998-01-01 2.62 1998-02-01 2.77 1998-03-01 2.12 1998-04-01 1.79 1998-05-01 1.92 1998-06-01 2.51 1998-07-01 1.80 1998-08-01 1.41 1998-09-01 1.87 1998-10-01 2.00 1998-11-01 2.60 1998-12-01 1.61 1999-01-01 1.67 1999-02-01 1.97 1999-03-01 1.24 1999-04-01 1.60 1999-05-01 2.34 1999-06-01 2.07 1999-07-01 1.49 1999-08-01 1.14 1999-09-01 1.26 1999-10-01 1.60 1999-11-01 1.77 1999-12-01 2.81 2000-01-01 2.43 2000-02-01 2.11 2000-03-01 1.88 2000-04-01 1.36 2000-05-01 1.40 2000-06-01 1.49 2000-07-01 1.26 2000-08-01 0.76 2000-09-01 0.94 2000-10-01 0.07 2000-11-01 -0.33 2000-12-01 -0.13 2001-01-01 -1.02 2001-02-01 -1.49 2001-03-01 -1.05 2001-04-01 -0.67 2001-05-01 -0.91 2001-06-01 -0.13 2001-07-01 0.36 2001-08-01 0.75 2001-09-01 0.37 2001-10-01 0.09 2001-11-01 0.24 2001-12-01 -0.09 2002-01-01 0.30 2002-02-01 0.56 2002-03-01 0.28 2002-04-01 -0.08 2002-05-01 -0.14 2002-06-01 -0.50 2002-07-01 -0.30 2002-08-01 -0.42 2002-09-01 -0.11 2002-10-01 -0.01 2002-11-01 -0.50 2002-12-01 0.04 2003-01-01 -0.01 2003-02-01 -0.14 2003-03-01 0.38 2003-04-01 0.51 2003-05-01 0.37 2003-06-01 0.96 2003-07-01 1.08 2003-08-01 1.34 2003-09-01 1.87 2003-10-01 1.97 2003-11-01 1.78 2003-12-01 1.85 2004-01-01 1.67 2004-02-01 1.20 2004-03-01 1.75 2004-04-01 1.70 2004-05-01 0.93 2004-06-01 1.39 2004-07-01 2.11 2004-08-01 1.54 2004-09-01 1.03 2004-10-01 1.39 2004-11-01 1.31 2004-12-01 1.12 2005-01-01 0.89 2005-02-01 1.01 2005-03-01 1.40 2005-04-01 1.31 2005-05-01 0.97 2005-06-01 1.45 2005-07-01 1.28 2005-08-01 1.20 2005-09-01 1.37 2005-10-01 1.44 2005-11-01 1.67 2005-12-01 1.69 2006-01-01 2.16 2006-02-01 2.24 2006-03-01 1.30 2006-04-01 0.87 2006-05-01 0.53 2006-06-01 0.32 2006-07-01 0.95 2006-08-01 1.62 2006-09-01 1.40 2006-10-01 1.56 2006-11-01 2.02 2006-12-01 2.05 2007-01-01 0.97 2007-02-01 1.16 2007-03-01 1.35 2007-04-01 1.38 2007-05-01 1.08 2007-06-01 0.84 2007-07-01 1.08 2007-08-01 0.53 2007-09-01 0.76 2007-10-01 0.82 2007-11-01 0.97 2007-12-01 0.96 2008-01-01 0.33 2008-02-01 0.58 2008-03-01 0.20 2008-04-01 -0.98 2008-05-01 -1.22 2008-06-01 -0.99 2008-07-01 -0.94 2008-08-01 -1.20 2008-09-01 -1.93 2008-10-01 -2.09 2008-11-01 -2.74 2008-12-01 -3.30 2009-01-01 -3.48 2009-02-01 -3.39 2009-03-01 -2.90 2009-04-01 -2.34 2009-05-01 -1.92 2009-06-01 -1.68 2009-07-01 -0.72 2009-08-01 -0.38 2009-09-01 -0.20 2009-10-01 -0.45 2009-11-01 -0.45 2009-12-01 0.23 2010-01-01 0.26 2010-02-01 1.13 2010-03-01 1.88 2010-04-01 1.81 2010-05-01 1.45 2010-06-01 1.27 2010-07-01 1.93 2010-08-01 1.11 2010-09-01 1.55 2010-10-01 1.52 2010-11-01 1.53 2010-12-01 1.67 2011-01-01 1.92 2011-02-01 1.74 2011-03-01 1.48 2011-04-01 1.13 2011-05-01 0.17 2011-06-01 0.83 2011-07-01 1.36 2011-08-01 1.60 2011-09-01 1.88 2011-10-01 2.05 2011-11-01 1.79 2011-12-01 2.09 2012-01-01 1.79 2012-02-01 1.56 2012-03-01 0.95 2012-04-01 0.21 2012-05-01 0.23 2012-06-01 0.85 2012-07-01 0.88 2012-08-01 1.44 2012-09-01 1.80 2012-10-01 1.59 2012-11-01 1.51 2012-12-01 1.82 2013-01-01 1.81 2013-02-01 1.44 2013-03-01 1.51